Booman Tribune ~ Comments ~ A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout

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A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout | 17 comments (17 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout (none / 1)

Boo-

You've looked at this stuff. Are you satisfied that the exit polls reasonably match the election returns? No election rigging? That question really isn't settled for alot of people and I wonder if we need to be calling for hand recounts to validate the technology used.

Thoughts?

by RandyH on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 11:36:16 AM EST

Re: A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout (none / 0)

the exit polls look good to me.

Very high female and Democratic turnout.

I note that Obama got killed on the Diebold machines, but I suspect those machines were used in the highest density areas where Hillary was expected to poll the best. It's strange, but the urban areas of New Hampshire are not the liberal areas...the liberal areas are along the coast and on the border with Vermont.

Still, it needs to be looked into.

by BooMan on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 11:44:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout (none / 0)

This confirms my hypothesis.

by BooMan on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 12:34:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout (none / 1)

The exit polls showed Obama coming in behind Clinton by two points, which matches what we see in the vote counts.

I was as suspicious as anyone, but I looked hard at the data and did the match - she appears to have won legitimately.

I think it was a few things.

Clinton got about 5 hours of CSPAN time, some of which may have been aired locally, when she did her really long Q&A session, which was run at least twice on CPSAN. She showed depth and range in her answers, and thoughtfulness.

The "Iron my shirt" incident may have been even more of a motivator for women than Hillary's emotional moment. The latter made her endearing, but the former had to piss off all women, enough to make them say to hell with this - I'm voting for the woman.

It's funny - I've talked to four people who are voting for Hillary in the last couple of days, all men. Two wanted to vote for her because she WAS a woman, and thought that would be a good change. The other two said her years of experience sealed the deal for them.

I have yet to meet a woman who is voting for Hillary, but then, I'm on the LEFT coast. ;-)

"If you look for the social economic motive, you will not have to wait for history to tell you what was propaganda and what was truth." - George Seldes

by Real History Lisa (lpeaseRemoveThis@gte.net) on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 12:34:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout (none / 0)

Funny, I only know two men that are voting for Hillary and one of them recently changed his mind. But I know A LOT of women intending to vote for her. But then I'm on the right coast.

by BooMan on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 12:40:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I think the exit polls are fine (none / 0)

The % clinton in the exit polls is close the % clinton in the vote. So, the exit polls may conceivably yield interesting information.

by dataguy on Wed Jan 9th, 2008 at 01:56:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A Look at the Exit Polls and Turnout | 17 comments (17 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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