Booman Tribune ~ Comments ~ This is just incredibly sad

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This is just incredibly sad | 55 comments (55 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

All Eyes on Florida (none / 0)

A subset of voters was identified in the WVa primary who considered race to be important when casting a vote. In WVa that subset was 22% of the voters.

I suspect that subset exists in all states with varying percentages which brings me to FL.

Fl down to almost Orlando is very similar to GA and voters of the subset will be higher there than in Southern Florida.

Southern FL, Orlando and below, have a large number of 65 or older citizens and history has shown they turn out to vote.

Obama has not been able to connect with these voters and I don't know if it is a question of race or not addressing issues important to seniors.

Additionally there are a large number of Jewish voters in lower FL and Joe Liberman will be very successful in his efforts to sway their votes.

My take is that if Obama loses FL, he will be in big trouble and that subset of race voters will make a difference in battleground states where previous elections have turned on thousands of votes not whole percentages.

I don't have a lot of confidence in Generation Y turning out to vote in big numbers because many think the Fall election is just a formality since Clinton has been defeated and history has shown they do not turn out in numbers.

Just my two cents....

by mlhm5 on Fri Jun 6th, 2008 at 07:26:43 PM EST

Re: All Eyes on Florida (none / 1)

And this is why Obama is creating a strategy concentrating on the Mountain West and the Upper Midwest where white working class voters don't seem to care much about coded race messages and seem to be getting fed up with repubs. After all, Florida didn't do Al Gore a helluva lot of good, even though he actually won it.

by Delia on Fri Jun 6th, 2008 at 09:09:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: All Eyes on Florida (none / 1)

you really think the white, working class [code word for racists] is going to vote for more with mc/same?

read this:

...working families unable to keep their homes warm in the winter; workers worried about whether they'll be able to fill their gas tank to get to their jobs; and seniors, who spent their entire lives working, now wondering how they'll survive in old age. They describe the pain and disappointments that parents feel as they are unable to save money for their kids' college education, and the dread of people who live without health insurance...

you can parse lieberman's influence, vis=a-vis aipac, orwhat ever boogieman you prefer...the bottom line is people are hurting, and it's not going to improve anytime soon with BushCo™ in charge. the GE campaign's just starting, and given the results of the primaries, l think they're going to vote for change...and they don't care what colour it is.

my 2¢

h/t to idredit

the revolution will not be televised...

by dada on Fri Jun 6th, 2008 at 09:39:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: All Eyes on Florida (none / 0)

Why would Obama be in trouble if he lost Florida? Obama's not likely to win Florida for the same reason Kerry wasn't: Florida is a conservative state. There are a few liberal strongholds -- Palm/Broward/Miami-Dade, Tallahassee, Tampon Bay, etc -- but the state is generally full of dumb rednecks, fascist exiles and rich retirees from the North.

And, again, Obama not winning groups in the primaries does not equate to not winning them in the general. Look at the Gallup polling on Latinos and Jews for your evidence. Obama connects with these people just fine. Stop buying into Clintard propaganda.

Finally, what history on Gen-Y are you basing that assertion on? They've only been around to vote in one presidential election (2004), and you'll recall the youth vote went over 50% that year. The history shows quite the opposite of what you claim, as does all academic research relating to Gen-Y's views and attitudes.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Jun 6th, 2008 at 11:14:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

This is just incredibly sad | 55 comments (55 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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