Booman Tribune

Waas on Plamegate

by BooMan
Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 05:12:29 PM EST

Sometimes an article comes along that is so good and so comprehensive and so...well...perfect...that there is no way for a blogger to whittle it down and pull out the salient points and provide commentary.

Murray Waas has just published the magnum opus on the Plame Affair. It's long, but everyone should read it.

Waas reveals the basic outlines of a much larger conspiracy. A conspiracy within which Valerie Plame played a relatively minor part.

And it all goes back to the those dreaded aluminum tubes. Let's get in our time machines and go back in time to September of 2002. The decision to invade in Iraq was probably made in April of 2002, but it was in August that the White House Iraq Group (WHIG) was formed. And they formulated the public relations strategy that would set the nation on a course for preemptive war. The media campaign began immediately after Labor Day. When Matt Miller, of the New York Times, asked chief-of-staff Andrew Card why they had waited until after Labor Day, Card responded with his infamous:

"From a marketing point of view, you don't introduce new products in August."

Things got rolling on September 8, 2002, when Michael Gordon and Judith Miller published "U.S. Says Hussein Intensifies Quest for A-Bomb Parts". That same day Rice, Powell, and Rumsfeld went on television and cited Gordon and Miller's article as justification for taking a tough line on Iraq. The article stated:

In the last 14 months, Iraq has sought to buy thousands of specially designed aluminum tubes, which American officials believe were intended as components of centrifuges to enrich uranium...The diameter, thickness and other technical specifications of the aluminum tubes had persuaded American intelligence experts that they were meant for Iraq's nuclear program, officials said, and that the latest attempt to ship the material had taken place in recent months. The attempted purchases are not the only signs of a renewed Iraqi interest in acquiring nuclear arms. President Hussein has met repeatedly in recent months with Iraq's top nuclear scientists and, according to American intelligence, praised their efforts as part of his campaign against the West.

Yet, according to Waas's article, Bush was informed that there were severe doubts about the nuclear purpose for the tubes within days of this article's appearance:

In mid-September 2002...Tenet informed him that both State and Energy had doubts about the aluminum tubes and that even some within the CIA weren't certain that the tubes were meant for nuclear weapons, according to government records and interviews with two former senior officials.

Official records and interviews with current and former officials also reveal that the president was told that even then-Secretary of State Colin Powell had doubts that the tubes might be used for nuclear weapons.

Then, in early October something happened that would become very significant once no weapons of mass destruction were found in Iraq. The President received a one-page National Intelligence summary that explictly informed him:

"...that the Energy Department and the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research believed that the tubes were "intended for conventional weapons..."

So, by early October, the President had been informed by George Tenet about the doubts from Energy and State, and the lack of unanimity at the CIA. He had heard that Powell was dubious. Still, on October 7th, Bush said in a speech:

...Iraq has attempted to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes and other equipment needed for gas centrifuges, which are used to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons."

Further confirmation of internal dissent arrived on January 10, 2003, when a highly classified memo entitled "Questions on Why Iraq Is Procuring Aluminum Tubes and What the IAEA Has Found to Date" was circulated to Cheney, Rice, Rumsfeld, and others. Within it, the INR strongly disputed any conclusion that the tubes were suitable for uranium enrichment. Nevertheless, the President went on to state in his January 28th, 2003 State of the Union address:

Our intelligence sources tell us that he has attempted to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes suitable for nuclear weapons production. Saddam Hussein has not credibly explained these activities. He clearly has much to hide.

The President was clearly cherry-picking his facts. But it wasn't until no weapons of mass destruction were found and, especially, no traces of a nuclear program were detected, that these prior statements became problematic. And it was in the context of intragovernmental finger-pointing that Valerie Plame's identity was revealed.

Libby's attorneys said in court papers:

Plame's identity was disclosed during "a period of increasing bureaucratic infighting, when certain officials at the CIA, the White House, and the State Department each sought to avoid or assign blame for intelligence failures relating to Iraq's weapons of mass destruction capability," the attorneys said. "The White House and the CIA were widely regarded to be at war."

The White House was aware of and concerned about the fact that Ambassador Wilson was making allegations about the Niger aspects of the case for war. But, according to Waas, they were actually much more concerned about the aluminum tube angle. The reason? There was documented evidence that the President knew about the fierce internal debate about their suitability for uranium enrichment.

Most troublesome to those leading the damage-control effort was documentary evidence -- albeit in highly classified government records that they might be able to keep secret -- that the president had been advised that many in the intelligence community believed that the tubes were meant for conventional weapons...

"Presidential knowledge was the ball game," says a former senior government official outside the White House who was personally familiar with the damage-control effort. "The mission was to insulate the president. It was about making it appear that he wasn't in the know. You could do that on Niger. You couldn't do that with the tubes."

And so, the White House began to lie. After Wilson's article appeared on July 6, 2003:

Aboard Air Force One, en route to Entebbe, Uganda, then-National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice gave a background briefing for reporters. A reporter pointed out that when Secretary Powell had addressed the United Nations on February 5, 2003, he -- unlike others in the Bush administration -- had noted that some in the U.S. government did not believe that Iraq's procurement of high-strength aluminum tubes was for nuclear weapons.

Responding, Rice said: "I'm saying that when we put [Powell's speech] together ... the secretary decided that he would caveat the aluminum tubes, which he did.... The secretary also has an intelligence arm that happened to hold that view." Rice added, "Now, if there were any doubts about the underlying intelligence to that NIE, those doubts were not communicated to the president, to the vice president, or me."

That statement from Rice is now known to have been a blatant lie. And it just got worse.

After Air Force One landed in Entebbe, the president placed the blame squarely on the CIA for the Niger information in the State of the Union: "I gave a speech to the nation that was cleared by the intelligence services." Within hours, Tenet accepted full responsibility.

As it turns out, Rove and Hadley worked closely with Tenet to help craft his statement. But they carefully sidestepped the issue of the aluminum tubes and kept the focus on the Niger issue.

This was part of their overall strategy. And it worked.

In the end, the White House's damage control was largely successful, because the public did not learn until after the 2004 elections the full extent of the president's knowledge that the assessment linking the aluminum tubes to a nuclear weapons program might not be true. The most crucial information was kept under wraps until long after Bush's re-election.

Waas also reports that Cheney, Libby, and David Addington overruled other White House advisors and refused to turn over these sensitive documents (that would have exposed their lies) to the Senate Intelligence Committee.

A Republican political appointee involved in the process, who thought the Bush administration had a constitutional obligation to be more open with Congress, said: "This was about getting past the election."

And they did get past the election.



Display:
Just have to repost this from yesterday:

" Just saw Syriana, and it left me in a total fugue state of post-cynical disillusionment.  It's one thing to know that all of what we see in the media is a puppet show with a handful of obscenely rich and powerful megalo-maniacal narcissists pulling the strings, another to get behind the scenes and watch the evil puppet masters at work."

Syriana II with an expose of the role that the media played in this tragedy?

by mythmother (mythmother (at) gmail.com) on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 06:51:23 PM EST
by BooMan on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 05:41:25 PM EST
Must say I like the header "Insulating Bush"...I always thought he lived in a bubble, kept unaware... and that he's always the last to know. This IS a surprise.

But putting aside all the Blair Memos, Waas opens with a very damming graph that should erase any doubt why the Impeachment process should not begin at noon on 03.31.06 to be followed, upon conviction, by a war crimes trial at the Hague:

Karl Rove, President Bush's chief political adviser, cautioned other White House aides in the summer of 2003 that Bush's 2004 re-election prospects would be severely damaged if it was publicly disclosed that he had been personally warned that a key rationale for going to war had been challenged within the administration. Rove expressed his concerns shortly after an informal review of classified government records by then-Deputy National Security Adviser Stephen J. Hadley determined that Bush had been specifically advised that claims he later made in his 2003 State of the Union address -- that Iraq was procuring high-strength aluminum tubes to build a nuclear weapon -- might not be true, according to government records and interviews.

Hadley was particularly concerned that the public might learn of a classified one-page summary of a National Intelligence Estimate, specifically written for Bush in October 2002.[..]

This article should be given wide coverage, putting to shame the supine GOPs who put party over country. Time for some brave men and women of 70s vintage to step forward.

Suggestion: can this front pager be preserved, not allowed to scroll off the page into cyberspace- say in the Recomend column?

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 06:31:42 PM EST
Must say I like the header "Insulating Bush"...I always thought he lived in a bubble, kept unaware... and that he's always the last to know. This IS a surprise.

It shouldn't be.

If the president isn't provided "plausible deniability" then everyone loses their job.

by MasonMcD on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 10:04:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The phrase 'This IS a surprise' was intended to be cynical, preceded by 'he lived in a bubble.

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"
by idredit on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 09:31:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, Booman the Kofax nominated eriposte at TLC a while ago in his WMDgate series.

As Steve Soto says:

"Without taking anything away from Wass's work here, please note that Eriposte has already reported here at TLC that Bush was told about concerns within his own administration about the "tubes=centrifuges" assertions months ago."

I haven't read the article yet, but was eriposte's work even mentioned? Credit where due, baby! Josh Marshall was talking about this kind of thing just this week - at what point do these reporters feel the need to credit investigative bloggers' work, I wonder?

I'm didn't lie, I was writing fiction with my mouth. - Homer Simpson

by iamcoyote (iamcoyote at gmail.com) on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 08:00:05 PM EST
This polarized debate was formalized, but not resolved, in October 2002 with the release  of a Director of Central Intelligence's National Intelligence Estimate (NIE).  In this  process, roughly ten individual intelligence agencies each have one vote, which pitted  one agency against the other in a drive for a majority vote.  The CIA won a majority,  receiving the support of the Defense Intelligence Agency, the National Security Agency,  and several military intelligence agencies.  The Department of Energy, respoUS centrifuge enrichment development, and the State Department dissented.

Iraq's Aluminum Tubes: Separating Fact From Fiction, by David Albright, 5 Dec 03. [Link opens file in .pdf format.]  Earlier essay on point, 10 March '03 @ ISIS.

by rba on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 08:01:22 PM EST
First, BooMan, an EXCELLENT story, and well explicated. Thanks.

Second, please, please for the sake of my anal retentive sanity...it's MAGNUM opus, not magnus opus...

sorry...

The best way to ensure a free press is to own one - H.L.Mencken

by RedDan (reddan@gmail.com) on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 08:31:06 PM EST
thanks.  Typo.
by BooMan on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 08:42:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the fix, and sorry to be so anal...

The best way to ensure a free press is to own one - H.L.Mencken
by RedDan (reddan@gmail.com) on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 10:13:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is an excellent analysis of Waas' article and its implications, especially an article so jam-packed with information (albeit not all of it new).  Great job.

It will be interesting to see what further information could come out if (when?) Fitzgerald indicts Hadley.

by maryb2004 on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 08:49:35 PM EST
Christy over at Firedoglake  has some good thoughts on how this info ties into the recent Libby court filings:

But suddenly, all the inter-Administration finger-pointing that Team Libby was doing in their latest filing makes a whole lot more sense, doesn't it?  "Protect my back, our you'll be protecting your own."  Except, well, now Waas let one big cat out of the multiple warnings bag, didn't he?  (Or was it someone from the Administration using Waas to castrate the Libby defense threat?  Wouldn't that be an interesting move on someone's part?  Who in the Administration would be so devious?  Hmmmm....)
 

As usual, on anything to do with Plame, she's a must-read.

by maryb2004 on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 10:37:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Murray has got to be one of the most informed journalists on Plame Gate. He is so good at reminding everyone of little tidbits they may have forgotten over the years.

Jamie
http://www.intoxination.net
by hovercrafter on Thu Mar 30th, 2006 at 10:35:25 PM EST
Bush fancies himself, overruling with his gut the discouraging geological data, then temporizing with his bank on a bet that he can stumble upon a gusher before his loans come due.
by macdust on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 02:25:08 AM EST
And let's see... How well's that working out for him?
by Marc in KS on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 06:36:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, it takes a while to realize that the real trick is to steal land from other people.
by macdust on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 09:31:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
that aluminium tubes as gas centrifuge parts was not just incorrect, but comically impossible. And that it was not just comically impossible to a few rocket-scientist brains in an obscure corner of an atomic research establishment somewhere, but to anyone with an understanding of basic high school physics. It was intellectually at the "Intelligent Design" level of credibility, or that of the Nazis' "Ice Moon theory".  

Millions of people around the world, on hearing that the Bush administration was pushing the tubes as centrifuge parts, would have gasped in disbelief: wrong size, wrong shape, and wrong material for something designed to spin very very fast.

(only later might they have learned that, by a strange coincidence, the tubes were the right size, right shape, and metallurgically exactly the right material for an obvious cheap knockoff of the Italian Medusa 81 artillery rocket, and known within the US government to be so, months before the centrifuge story was put out)

That the Bush team didn't care, as long as they could fool the least intelligent 51% of the population, that they were transparently at odds with reality as seen by the most intelligent 49%, says so much about their basic philosophy.

by Del C on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 04:01:04 AM EST
to Africa, well, one was in Africa, two were sent to report on the Niger uranium situation.

The third was Wilson.

Drives me nutz that this is so rarely mentioned. (The country's US ambassador was asked if it was possible, then a retired military general or similar(sorry, forgot names), then finally Wilson.

All reported -- "Not possible".

by LookingUp on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 05:05:34 AM EST
That statement from Rice is now known to have been a blatant lie.

I think this excerpt from Waas' article should have followed your statement above in the diary:

In fact, contrary to Rice's statement, the president was indeed informed of such doubts when he received the October 2002 President's Summary of the NIE. Both Cheney and Rice also got copies of the summary, as well as a number of other intelligence reports about the State and Energy departments' doubts that the tubes were meant for a nuclear weapons program.


It all went to hell when Reagan was elected President. -- DinStL
by Disgusted in St Louis on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 05:15:10 AM EST
Well...

They managed to draw attention away from all of this while it was happening by talking about mushroom clouds billowing over American cities.

Jump ahead to today, they're trying to do the same thing only this time the bogeyman is Iran, and rather than just let us imagine one of our cities being nuked, they're putting on a live demonstration near Vegas in June.

Jeff Huber Pen and Sword

by Jeff Huber on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 12:49:41 PM EST
Todd Johnston's story from last July, "Ari's Lies/Condi's Truth Telling: An Analysis", from ePluribus Media:

You can think of it this way:

Imagine that on Friday, July 11, 2003, Condoleezza Rice was handing out oranges in the aft section of Air Force One and someone absentmindedly stuffed one into his pocket. On Monday, that someone remembered the orange, pulled it from his pocket, and showed it to Ari Fleischer.

And Fleischer, after glancing down at the orange, calmly looked up and with a straight face said, "That's not an orange. That's an apple."

Today, more than two years later, it's still an apple.

by wanderindiana on Fri Mar 31st, 2006 at 05:33:12 PM EST


Display:
Go to: [ Booman Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]
Menu
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password





Find textbooks at Alibris!

NOTE: Overstock bests Amazon's prices and is "blue."

THE BOOKS WITH "BUZZ":
______________

Senator Edward M. Kennedy tells his extraordinary personal story:

True Compass: A Memoir
by Edward M. Kennedy.

Read Barack Obama's vision for America:

The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream
by Barack Obama

Boran2 and maryb2004 recommend:

The Big Over Easy: A Nursery Crime
by Jasper Fforde

Must-have information for all presidents-and citizens-of the twenty-first century?

Physics for Future Presidents: The Science behind the Headlines
Richard A. Muller

rae recommends:

Dark Ages America: The Final Phase of Empire
by Morris Berman.

On BooMan’s shelf:

Team of Rivals: The Political Genius of Abraham Lincoln
by Doris Kearns Goodwin

This looks interesting:

Adventure Divas
by Holly Morris

Here’s a good one from
Elizabeth Gilbert:

Eat Pray Love
by Elizabeth Gilbert

"Crash" * Best Motion Picture, Academy Awards * Only $11.79 at Overstock * 2006 SAG Winner, Best Ensemble

Check out
Powell's new section:
NEW FAVORITES

Selected new arrivals at 30% off

Recommended by Indianadem and ejmw:
The Conscience of a Liberal
by Paul Wellstone

From northcountry’s bookshelf:

The New Golden Age:
The Coming Revolution Against
Political Corruption and Economic Chaos
by Ravi Batra

A novel about contractors in Iraq from the woman that runs The Spy That Billed Me:

Outsourced: A Novel
from RJ Hillhouse.


Great Deals
----- * ^ * -----

Find mystery novels by Nancy Pickard ("Kansas")



Challenging Empire: How People, Governments, and the UN Defy US Power by Phyllis Bennis (interviewed on DN!)


Featured by Keith Olbermann, New (Powell's Sale): Rogue State: A Guide to the World's Only Superpower by William Blum (whose other books merit serious consideration)


"Explosive" State of War: The Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration
by James Risen


The book the CIA doesn't want you to read: Jawbreaker: The Attack on Bin Laden and Al Qaeda: A Personal Account by the CIA's Key Field Commander
Larry Johnson's review


BT's all-time best seller:

PERMACULTURE:
A Designers' Manual

$79.95 * Sale: $59.95


Unequal Sisters: A Multicultural Reader in U.S. Women's History (Third Edition)


The Undercover Economist: Exposing Why the Rich Are Rich, the Poor Are Poor And Why You Can Never Buy a Decent Used Car!


The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
by Timothy Egan


Green Press Initiative
----- * ^ * -----


Journalistas: 100 Years of the Best Writing and Reporting by Women Journalists by Eleanor Mills * NYT review


Bury Me Standing: the Gypsies & Their Journey


1491: New Revelations of the Americas before Columbus



Brokeback Mountain
by Annie Proulx
----- * ^ * -----
Check out Powell's
"At The Movies"


Imperial Ambitions: Conversations on the Post-9/11 World by Noam Chomsky (Power & Terror: Post 9-11 Talks)


The Price of Privilege:

How Parental Pressure and
Material Advantage Are Creating a Generation of
Disconnected and Unhappy Kids

by Madeline Levine


Save 35-70% on
name brand clothing,
footwear, and outdoor gear
at SierraTradingPost.com

:





We listened to PEN American Center's "State of Emergency" and found 1940s books by Curzio Malaparte only at Alibris. (Selection (MP3) excerpted from "The Skin.")

Alibris - Books You Thought You'd Never Find
Banned Books * Are you a fan of Film Noir, Art House, Documentaries or Hong Kong Action? * Searching for a long-lost children's book or a first printing of Miles Davis' Kind of Blue on vinyl? Find it at Alibris!

:
:
www.Patagonia.com


Listed on BlogShares

© 2009 Booman Tribune