Philip Shropshire
http://www.threeriversonline.com

Greg Palast already thinks its stolen! I really hope he's wrong because it would mean that we can beat fixed systems with an overwhelming vote response...

Here's Palast:

Dispatch from Mexico City:
STEALING IT IN FRONT OF YOUR EYES

Matt Pascarella in Mexico City
Greg Palast in London

Monday, 3 July

Gore v. Bush.  Kerry v. Bush.  Obrador v. Calderon.

As in Florida in 2000, as in Ohio in 2004, the exit polls show the voters voted for the progressive candidate, but the race is "officially" too close to call.

But they will call it -- after they steal it.  Reuters News agency reports that, as of 8pm Eastern time, as voting concluded in Mexico, exit polls show Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of the "left-wing" Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) leading in exit polls over Felipe Calderon of the ruling conservative National Action Party (PAN).

We've told you again and again:  Exit polls tell us how voters say they voted, but the voters can't tell pollsters if their vote will be counted.  In Mexico, counting the vote is an art, not a science -- and Calderon's ruling crew is very artful indeed.  The PAN-controlled
official electoral commission, not surprisingly, has announced that the presidential tally is too close to call.

Calderon's election is openly supported by the Bush Administration.

On the ground in Mexico City, our news team reports accusations from inside the Obrador campaign that operatives of the PAN had access to voter files which are supposed to be the sole property of the nation's electoral commission.

We are not surprised.

This past Friday, we reported that the US Federal Bureau of Investigation had obtained Mexico's voter files under a secret "counterterrorism" contract with database company ChoicePoint of Alpharetta, Georgia.  (See BUSH TEAM HELPS RULING PARTY "FLORIDIZE" MEXICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION)

The FBI's contractor states that, following the arrest of ChoicePoint agents by the Mexican
government, the company returned or destroyed its files.  The firm claims not to have known collecting this information violated Mexican law.  Such files can be useful in challenging a voter's right to cast a ballot or in preventing that vote from counting.

It is, of course, impossible to know if the FBI destroyed its own copy of the files of Mexico's voter rolls obtained by Choicepoint or if these were then used to illegally assist the Calderon candidacy.  
But we can see the results:  as in the US, first in Florida then in Ohio, the exit polls are at odds with "official" polls.

In November 2004, US Republican Senator Richard Lugar, in Kiev, cited the divergence of exit polls and official polls as solid evidence of "blatant fraud" in the vote count in Ukraine. As a result, the Bush Administration refused to recognize the Ukraine government's official vote tally ... which proves once again that Republicans are incapable
of irony.

The foreign mainstream press has already announced, despite the polling discrepancies, that Mexico's elections were fair and clean -- which would be a first for that country where Obrador's party has seen its candidates defeated by "blatant fraud" before.  The change
this time is that the fraud is simply less blatant.

I don't know much about Mexican politics that would be useful nowadays (my AP gov't class covered Mexican gov't, but it didn't really help much, given that the PRI is no longer dominant), but hopefully, Lopez Obrador wins.

a charming, populist, New Deal style progressive

I want to vote for someone like that, too!