Booman Tribune

Bush's "No Plan to attack Iran" looks like a Big Fat Lie

by Steven D
Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 10:37:30 AM EST

He has no plan to attack Iran? Really, that's the essence of what our Dear President said the other day when interviewed at the White House:

"I have no intent upon incur--going into Iran"

Liar:

"American forces could be using their two USAF bases in Bulgaria and one at Romania's Black Sea coast to launch an attack on Iran in April," the Bulgarian news agency Novinite said.

(cont.)

Liar:

[I]n conjunction with the beefing up of America's Italian bases and the acquisition of anti-missile defence bases in the Czech Republic and Poland, the Balkan developments seem to indicate a new phase in Bush's global war on terror. Sofia's news of advanced war preparations along the Black Sea is backed up by some chilling details. One is the setting up of new refuelling places for US Stealth bombers, which would spearhead an attack on Iran. "The USAF's positioning of vital refuelling facilities for its B-2 bombers in unusual places, including Bulgaria, falls within the perspective of such an attack."

Liar:

Before the end of March, 3000 US military personnel are scheduled to arrive "on a rotating basis" at America's Bulgarian bases.

Liar:

Last week, the Bucharest daily Evenimentual Zilei revealed the USAF is to site several flights of F-l5, F-l6 and Al0 aircraft at the Kogalniceanubase. Admiral Gheorghe Marin, Romania's chief of staff, confirmed "up to 2000 American military personnel will be temporarily stationed in Romania".

Liar:

Last week, Mirek Topolanek, the Czech prime minister, and the country's national security council agreed to the siting of a US anti-missile radar defence system at Nepolisy. Poland has also agreed to having a US anti-missile missile base and interceptor aircraft stationed in the country.

Liar:

[M]aybe the spark for a wider conflict is just what the increasingly desperate President Bush seeks. His fixation on Iranian activities in Iraq cannot be explained by his cover story, which is that Tehran is supplying weapons to forces that kill U.S. troops. To date, no hard evidence that the Iranian government is sending high-powered weaponry into Iraq has been made public, and no credible proof may be forthcoming. [...]

Some of the reports of "thousands" of Iranian agents in Iraq come from the Mojahedin-e Khalq terrorist group, which is made up of Iranian expatriates who display a cultlike devotion to their leader, Maryam Rajavi. [...]

That the U.S. is in search of a rationale for a wider conflict is supported by the fact that it has arrested Iranian officials inside Iraq on two occasions in the past six weeks. [...]

Any leaders of a failing war effort are always tempted by a strategy of escalation. Announcing open hunting season on all Iranian visitors to Iraq is like playing Frisbee with nitroglycerin. Bush has gone looking for trouble and is likely to find it.

Liar:

[T]he Bush administration seems intent on provoking Iran, with hostile rhetoric, the assignment of an aircraft carrier group to the waters near Iran, and - as reported Friday by The Washington Post - a new policy of killing Iranian agents found to be aiding militias in Iraq.

Liar:

Bush singled out Iran and Syria as countries aiding "terrorists". He warned that the United States "will seek and destroy the networks" that were allegedly training and arming "our enemies in Iraq". A few days after, American soldiers entered the Iranian liaison office in Irbil, in the Kurd-dominated part of northern Iraq, and arrested five Iranian diplomats on charges of helping the insurgency. The Sudanese embassy in Baghdad was also raided. Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshiyar Zebari, himself a Kurd, criticised the arrests, saying that the Iranians were providing valuable services to Iraqis.

The "Irbil incident", according to observers, was staged to provoke the Iranian government. Teheran, while issuing a strong statement, is not willing to walk into a diplomatic or military trap at this juncture. For the last year and a half, the Bush administration has alleged that Iran is supplying the Iraqi resistance with arms and military expertise. These allegations have not been taken seriously as most of the fighting against the occupation forces is being carried out by Sunni resistance fighters.

Liar:

In 1996, in a report on strategy prepared by the Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies (a think-tank created by AIPAC) and titled "A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm," future advisors to the Bush-Cheney administration (Perle, Feith, Wurmser, etc.) proposed "removing Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq," and then to go on "engaging Hizballah, Syria, and Iran."

Liar:

In the overall flow of information coming from the Middle East, there are increasingly frequent reports indicating that within several months from now the US will deliver nuclear strikes on Iran. For example, citing well-informed but undisclosed sources, the Kuwaiti Arab Times wrote that the US plans to launch a missile and bomb attack on the territory of Iran before the end of April, 2007. The campaign will start from the sea and will be supported by the Patriot missile defense systems in order to let the US forces avoid a ground operation and to reduce the efficiency of the return strike by “any Persian Gulf country”. “Any country” mostly refers to Iran. The source which supplied the information to the Kuwaiti paper believes that the US forces in Iraq and other countries of the region will be defended from any Iranian missile strikes by the frontier Patriots. [...]

The information that a second US aircraft-carrier is due to arrive at the Persian Gulf till the end of January makes it possible to analyze the possible evolution of the war situation. Attacking Iran, the US will mostly use air delivery of the nuclear munitions. Cruise missiles (carried by the US aircrafts as well as ships and submarines) and, possibly, ballistic missiles will be used. Probably, nuclear strikes will be followed by air raids from aircraft carriers and by other means of attack. [...]

Within weeks from now, we will see the informational warfare machine start working. The public opinion is already under pressure. There will be a growing anti-Iranian militaristic hysteria, new information leaks, disinformation, etc.

I take direct issue with General Ivashov on only one point (indirectly I pray he is wrong about the use of American nuclear weapons). We have already seen the the opening salvos of the disinformation campaign about Iran from the Bush administration and the Pentagon. I've been reporting on it with incresing frequency here at Booman Tribune for the last few months.

No plan to attack Iran, Mr. Bush?

You are a Liar! Even some conservatives think so:

Everything is in place for an attack on Iran. Two aircraft carrier attack forces are deployed to the Persian Gulf, US attack aircraft have been moved to Turkey and other countries on Iran’s borders, Patriot anti-missile defense systems are being moved to the Middle East to protect oil facilities and US bases from retaliation from Iranian missiles, and growing reams of disinformation alleging Iran’s responsibility for the insurgency in Iraq are being fed to the gullible US Media.

War with Iran is coming. Bush has already circled the date on his calendar. Let's hope saner people in the military can prevent this insanity from happening, because I don't trust Congress to do anything.



Display:
Liar??!!

I'm just shocked.

If you want things to get better, be prepared to deal with change.

by Kahli on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 10:44:03 AM EST
Remember the last time Bush denied planning to attack another country?


Following a meeting of his top defense advisers in Texas, Mr. Bush went out of his way to ridicule media reports that the day's agenda would include planning for a move against Iraq.

"I know there's this intense speculation, a churning, a frenzy ... but the subject didn't come up," Mr. Bush said."

by hass (hassani1387@yahoo.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 10:49:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We should trust our leaders.  They know more than we do, they have access to intelligence that we don't.

And they never lie to us (unless they are Democrats).

<snark>

Obama is a Patriot

by Steven D on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:01:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Me too -- not!

Also this story is now posted at Daily Kos as well.

Obama is a Patriot

by Steven D on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 10:53:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Seriously, I think we need to work on impeachment right away.  Once he launches a new attack, he'll wrap himself in the flag and claim how essential he is to the troops and the country as he leads us in a new bold initiative against evil-doers, terrorists, freedom-haters.

We need to pressure our congresscritters NOW.

If you want things to get better, be prepared to deal with change.

by Kahli on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:07:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What frightens me is that the Russian General whose article I cite near the end posits a "9/11" type event either here or in Iraq to our troops which would be used to justify getting Congress' assent to an attack.

Obama is a Patriot
by Steven D on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:14:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Russian general isn't the first person to think that would happen.  Bush is determined to get his escalated war...he only has 2 more years to bring on the end of the world, you know.
by CabinGirl on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:21:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Cripe.

If you want things to get better, be prepared to deal with change.
by Kahli on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:15:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Trusting a Russian general's analysis on US foreign policy is a bit like asking a republican to comment on the superiority of the Democrat's political platform.  You know what the answer/analysis will be, in broad terms.  

I do not deny that it is many indications pointing towards Bush dealing with Iran militarily sooner or later, but I would be careful when reading this general's analysis.  

There is a tendency amongst many of these people working within the security establishment in general, and within the Russian security establishment in particular, to feast on conspiracy and paranoia and especially when it comes to a former and even today a perceived adversary.
   

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Gjermun E Jansen (gjans1@hotmail.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 11:57:25 AM EST
If he was the only person making this claim, I'd agree with you.   But since many other people are also concerned about a Bush plan to strike Iran, among them Senators Biden, Hagel and Ret. General Wes Clark, I think it's not unreasonable to conclude that his analysis isn't outside the mainstream.  Besides, the deployments to the region speak for themselves.

Obama is a Patriot
by Steven D on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 12:13:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I often wondered what Zbigniew Brzezinski meant when he wrote this piece in the LA Times:

If there is another terrorist attack in the United States, you can bet your bottom dollar that there also will be immediate charges that Iran was responsible in order to generate public hysteria in favor of military action.

Is he just saying that Iran could be accused of terrorism if sucn an incident happens to occur, or is he really implying that such a "terrorist incident" could be cooked up in order to blame Iran?

Note that this wouldn't be the first time that he US Gov't has at least considered faking a terrorist incident on US soil in order to justify aggression against another country. See Operation Northwoods

by hass (hassani1387@yahoo.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 02:17:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A couple of parallel discussions are going on at DKos today. I'm wondering, why then do the Democrats seem like they are walking around in that party from Animal House? "I hope no bad people come..."

We have people like Spector and Biden saying to the press that they do not believe that the administration has the power to initiate a war. But what does it take? A missle from Hezbollah lobbed at Israel from the neighborhood of Iran--and the U.S. replies with a missle from one of those carriers. Or Ohlmert sends something at a location that he thinks has nukes screwing it up, as usual, and we have to rush in to defend him. The War Powers Act clearly allows the "Decider" to respond!

We know they are planning it. We know they'd like it. So what is actually happening to stop it?

Michaela

by michaelmt (MrMichael_t@yahoo.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 01:24:37 PM EST
Placing a limit of proportionality on pre-authorized responses would be good policy: One missile, one incursion, should be cause for (say) a prompt 10x reprisal, not a full-scale war -- unless authorized by Congress. In particular, inserting troops on the ground in a hostile country should be prohibited unless authorized. Air power should be enough as an interim measure. Note that ground-based defense of a friendly power (or even Iraq) would not be impaired.

Objection: "We can't wait for Congress -- we must respond immediately!"
Answer: "Immediate, forceful responses are authorized."

Objection: "An attack is cause for war, not a mere reprisal!"
Reply: "Congress has the constitutional power and responsibility to decide whether to commit the U.S. to war. No foreign power can be allowed make us make war by stimulating a knee-jerk response."

A genuine attack would almost surely lead Congress to approve a full-scale war, but a delay in which the facts could emerge might avert a war based on a fabricated pretext.

The War Powers Act of 1973 already places limits, but these seem inadequate. They should be tightened.

Words and ideas I offer here may be used freely and without attribution.

by technopolitical on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 03:55:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
One is the setting up of new refuelling places for US Stealth bombers, which would spearhead an attack on Iran.

I think that this is most telling as the B-2 is now seen as a cleanup device, to go in after much of the "dirty work" has been done.    

Fear will keep the local systems in line. -Grand Moff Tarkin Survivor Left Blogistan

by boran2 (blogistan@yahoo.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 01:35:19 PM EST
I KNOW there will be an attack on Iran soon: because Michael Ledeen is pretending to oppose it.

Yes, the same "faster please" Michael Ledeen who pushed oh-so-hard for the attack on Iraq, is now denying he did so and is pretending that was always against the invasion - which is a usual lie.

Now, he's claiming that an attack on Iran would be proof of Bush's "policy failure" Why? Is he really opposed to such an attack? Well, no - in fact he was repeatedly insisted on it in the near past. So why is he now pretending to be against such an attack? Because Michael Ledeen wants to position himself as the peace-loving conciliator in the aftermath of an attack which he knows is going to happen anyway.

by hass (hassani1387@yahoo.com) on Tue Jan 30th, 2007 at 02:09:52 PM EST


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