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by Steven D
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has released a draft (the proposed chapter outine can be found at this .pdf file link) of the second of 4 scientific reports to be included as part of its "Climate Change 2007" Fourth Assessment Report. This document, prepared by the IPCC's Working Group II, is titled: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerabilities. Based on the efforts of roughly 1000 scientists, this draft report is not likely to change significantly when the final version is approved early next month. The draft report's findings are alarming, to say the least:
(cont.)
The report includes these likely results of global warming: Here on some quotes from scientists who worked on this report:
"Things are happening and happening faster than we expected," said Patricia Romero Lankao of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado ... Water shortages, disease, starvation, mass extinction events, floods, hundreds of millions of refugees from coastal areas, etc. This is a recipe for mass migrations and innumerable conflicts over scarce resources. How many people will die as a direct or indirect result of global warming over the next century is anyone's guess, but with water shortages expected to effect from 1.1 to 3.2 billion people by the year 2050, I suspect any reasonable estimate would have to place that number in the hundreds of millions. With so many reputable scientists claiming that such massive human and ecological disasters are highly likely to occur unless we act quickly toc urb our emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, is it any wonder that the cottage industry of global warming deniers have been out in full force of late? Here's the latest from a climate change sceptic and so-called scientific expert, Phillip Stott, Emeritus Professor at the University of London (via ABC News): Extreme weather events are ever present, and there is no evidence of systematic increases. Outside the tropics, variability should decrease in a warmer world. If this is a "crisis," then the world is in permanent "crisis," but will be less prone to "crisis" with warming. [...] Most of his argument, by the way is false, or misstates the results of current research by climate scientists. No one is arguing that climate change has been occurring since the earth was created, it is the accelerating rate of that change over the last 150 years, an observable fact that few deny, which is abnormal and proving to be dangerous to all forms of life on this planet. As for Stott's claim that the growth in diseases like malaria are unrelated to global warming, but merely correspond to the poverty of the nations in which they occur, that is a pure canard. It is true that the effects of malaria are felt most significantly in poorer countries, but the spread of the disease outside of it's traditional tropical ecosystems is directly correlated with the rise in regional temperatures caused by global warming. Here in New York where I live, we now have an increasing number of insect borne disease vectors, like West Nile virus, which used to occur primarily in tropical and sub-tropical regions. That is directly attributable to a warmer climate and a lengthier warm season in which mosquitos which spread the diseases can breed, because our winters have become shorter and milder over the past 25 years. The same is true for other temperate zone regions of the world. Indeed, pests of all kinds are on the rise in temperate regions, because the killing effect of winter on those species has diminished to such an extent. As for Professor Stott's expert credentials, I imagine that many of you will not be surprised to discover that he has no real experience as a climate scientist. Here's how the Source Watch article on Professor Stott describes his career and academic background:
Philip Stott is a professor emeritus of biogeography at the University of London, and he was Editor-in Chief of the international 'Journal of Biogeography' (Blackwell Publications, Oxford) (he retired in 2004 after 18 years). Despite his utter lack of any experience related to ongoing research and studies in climate science and related fields, Professor Stott nonetheless is awarded expert status by the mainstream media such as ABC, and allowed to propagate his misinformation regarding the research results of actual climate scientists. He is given a megaphone to broadcast his list of phony talking points so that the media's false narrative of a "global warming controversy" can continue to be foisted on the non-scientific public. In that regard, perhaps Professor Stott, with his "linguistic approach" to analyzing environmental science, and his study of "metanarratives" regarding "biodiversity and biotechnology and global warming" is the perfect pundit for the job. Who needs a real scientist when you can employ an expert in deconstructing the language of scientists, instead? Thus does the media counter the dominant and overwhelming scientific consensus, as represented by the IPCC report on global climate change, that man made global warming is changing the planet in ways that are harmful to all life: by employing a bullshit artist. global warming climate change IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Fourth Assessment Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Global Warming Sceptics Philip Stott Water Effects of global warming Climate Science
New IPCC Report: Effects of Global Warming Very Hazardous to Mankind | 2 comments (2 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
New IPCC Report: Effects of Global Warming Very Hazardous to Mankind | 2 comments (2 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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