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by BooMan
I don't like writing about the presidential race. But I do have to comment on this:
Conventional wisdom dictates that Democratic voters are thrilled with their choices for president, bursting at the seams to rally behind Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.), Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) or whoever gets the party's nod next year. Obama does much better than Clinton.
Giuliani takes 49 percent to Clinton's 39 percent, while the former mayor's lead over Obama is far smaller, 41 percent to 40 percent. "Despite Obama's relative advantage over Clinton, both candidates are significantly underperforming against the generic Democratic edge in the presidential and even against party identification," Lake and Gotoff wrote. Congressional Dems are looking good, but their position softens somewhat if they aggressively linked to liberal, big government policies.
While the average lead of Democratic House members stands at 19 percentage points in the 31 vulnerable districts -- all but two of which are part of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's incumbent-protection program known as Frontline -- that number sinks considerably when the lawmakers are linked to either front-runner. I think the really important story here is the 19 point advantage the congressional Dems enjoy. But it is worth noting that Guiliani is capable of winning over moderates, and that Obama and particulaly Clinon have the potential to be a drag on the rest of the ticket.
Obama and Clinton's Down Ticket Influence | 8 comments (8 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Obama and Clinton's Down Ticket Influence | 8 comments (8 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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