Booman Tribune

Nevada Caucuses and S. Carolina Primary

by BooMan
Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:06:35 PM EST

MSNBC has just called the Nevada caucuses for Mitt Romney even though CNN has yet to post any results. The Democratic side hasn't started yet. The votes begins at 2:30 eastern time and we should have the the first results by 3:30. The final results should be in by 5:30. Check here.

The Republicans are also voting in South Carolina, where the polls will be open until 7:00. You can get the results here.

If you have any news, anecdotal or otherwise, post it here.

Update [2008-1-19 13:52:37 by BooMan]: Well, we can safely say that the polls mean absolutely nothing. The last poll out of Nevada had Ron Paul finishing 5th with 7%. But the Entrance Poll shows Ron Paul coming in a strong second with 22%.



Display:
Romney winning is no shock. McCain isn't well liked here. What should be interesting is to see how Ron Paul did. He's probably done the most campaigning and advertising of the republicans.

I'll be going to my caucus site soon. I think I'll go in undecided and see if either Obama or Edwards needs my vote the most. This should be a very interesting experience. I'm interested to see what types of people show up. I live in a central Reno neighborhood with alot of diversity. I hope it's not just a bunch of old white ladies voting for Clinton.

by RandyH on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:20:43 PM EST
If you could write up a diary about your experience that would be great.  Do you have a camera?
by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:31:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sure. I'll see what I can do.
by RandyH on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:33:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
kewl beans.
by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:39:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Entrance Poll shows that a full 33% of the Republican caucus-goers make over $100,000/year.
by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:49:43 PM EST
That is NUTS... I wonder what percentage of the population in general makes > 100K/year. I would guess less than 5%.

"Some men see things as they are and say why - I dream things that never were and say why not." George Bernard Shaw.
by benjamink on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:51:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I thought it was NUTS, too.
by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:01:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, about 19%

Per wikipedia so I don't vouch for it but it's supposed to be based on census data.

In the year 2005, there were approximately 113,146,000 households in the United States. 19.01% of all households had annual incomes exceeding $100,000,

This is household income, not individual income, (but I bet a lot of people put combined income down when asked on exit polls).

I didn't find Nevada data on actual household income. Just median income.

by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:43:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
.
May explain earnings bracket above $100K
571 respondents:
Age 60 and older: 44%
Vote by race: 87% white

Another statistic:
Last 3 days deciders: 29% vote for McCain

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

by Oui on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:33:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Does anyone know why South Carolina splits their primaries into two separate day?  It seems like it would be much more expensive for the board of elections (thus, the taxpayers) to do primary elections on separate days.
by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:35:29 PM EST
The parties run the primaries. State is not involved.
by RandyH on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:36:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's the rule in South Carolina?  

Here the primary elections are run by the local board of elections.  Same election judges etc.

Who moves the voting machines?  Who sets them up?   Who takes them down?  Or do the parties have their own voting machines?  Or maybe the party reimburse the community completely for all costs?

And the Secretary of State's office isn't involved at all?  

by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:40:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
MSNBC just said Ron Paul Second in Nevada.

"Some men see things as they are and say why - I dream things that never were and say why not." George Bernard Shaw.
by benjamink on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 01:46:54 PM EST
I had expected Ron Paul to win Nevada even with no campaigning.  So many libertarians out there, even the Democrats in some pockets are more Lib than Dem.

~~~THIS SPACE FOR RENT~~~
by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:06:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think there are a lot of Mormons in the state too though.
by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:25:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yep, and 94% of them voted for Romney.  
by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:25:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, I kinda forgot about that when I posted.  

~~~THIS SPACE FOR RENT~~~
by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:26:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But Paul still beats McCain.  If the SC evangelicals pass god's test and  brave the snow, maybe he'll lose SC too.  Lol!
by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:52:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Turnout is low in South Carolina but that might be because on Saturday there is no morning rush to vote.

Also, it appears that God does not like Huckabee as He has sent snowstorms into Huckabee's part of the state.

by BooMan on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:23:17 PM EST
god likes to test the righteous.  because he has nothing better to do.
by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 02:26:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Both Todd Beeton and Matt Stoller today are saying that these are Nevada's very first caucuses.  But that appears not to be true.  

Bloggers.  No better than the MSM on getting their facts straight? :)

by maryb2004 on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 03:01:46 PM EST
Booman I think Obama is now claiming he won 13 delegates to Hillary's 12
by expat on Sat Jan 19th, 2008 at 07:32:40 PM EST


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