Booman Tribune

Ahead of the Curve

by BooMan
Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 10:43:36 AM EST

When I envision Rick Davis, Steve Schmidt, and other top-level members of John McCain's campaign staff commiserating over strategy, I see them using their Reptilian brains to figure out what tactics they can use to change the subject from the economy, health care, and education to something that will scare the America people about a potential Obama presidency. They'll use low-cost robocalls, they'll use surrogates, they'll have Palin call Obama a socialist, they'll bring up William Ayers, they'll bring up Rev. Wright, they'll talk about Obama's youthful drug use, they'll use code words like 'Real Americans' and 'Country First'. But, while the Republican masterminds are using all their creative energy to tear Obama down, the Obama campaign is using their creative energy to find new and innovative ways to kick John McCain's ass.

Let's place ads on the Guitar Hero video game. Let's create an iPhone application. Let's get an endorsement from bluegrass legend Ralph Stanley. Yesterday and today, the Obama campaign is blanketing Florida, and holding all their events within walking distance of early-voting centers.

U.S. Senator Barack Obama continues his tour of the Sunshine State today with an Early Vote for Change rally in Miami with his wife, Michelle, and a Growing American Jobs Summit with governors, business leaders and economic experts from around the country to discuss his solutions for solving the economic crisis and creating good jobs here in America.

The Growing American Jobs summit will take place in Lake Worth. Governors Jennifer Granholm of Michigan, Bill Richardson of New Mexico, Bill Ritter of Colorado and Ted Strickland of Ohio will join Senator Obama, Google CEO Eric Schmidt and former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volker to discuss the economic challenges that they are seeing firsthand and talk about the impact that Senator Obama's Economic Rescue plan for the middle class would have on the economy in communities across America. Victoria Villalba, President and owner of Victoria and Associates Career Services, Inc. a Miami-based staffing/ recruitment company, will also participate in the summit to discuss her experiences and the challenges facing small businesses during this economic crisis.

Also today, Mrs. Obama will host an Early Vote for Change rally in Pensacola. Governor Bill Richardson of New Mexico will hold an Early Vote for Change rally in Immokalee and a community gathering in Port Charlotte. At each Early Vote for Change event this week, the Obama campaign will urge Floridians to early vote in order to deliver the change we need in Florida and across the nation. Voters have the opportunity to make their voice heard early beginning today, Monday, October 20, through Saturday, November 1 (November 2 in a few counties).

Meanwhile, Joe Biden is doing the same thing in Colorado.

U.S. Senator Joe Biden will kick off a two day tour of Colorado today with an Early Vote for Change Rally at the University of Northern Colorado in Greeley at 1:00pmMT (2:00pmCT) followed by a Community Gathering at Adams City High School in Commerce City, Colorado at 5:30pmMT (6:30pmCT).

One of the best predictors of party preference is population density. The more density, the more Democratic-leaning the electorate. For this reason, Democrats are disproportionately vulnerable to long lines at the polls resulting in lost votes for their candidates. Thus, early voting serves a dual purpose. Banking early votes lessens the wait-time at the polls on election day and it frees up campaign staff to target a smaller universe of voters in their GOTV efforts. Most of the people casting early votes today at these campaign events in Florida and Colorado were going to vote for Obama anyway. But now they won't be adding to the wait time for other voters on election day. Now they are free to spend all day on November 4th helping get other voters to the polls.

This is the kind of ahead-of-the-curve thinking that has defined the Obama campaign from the beginning. If the Obama administration governs the country as well as they have governed their campaign, we will be very fortunate indeed.



Display:

McCain takes the low and cheap...has less than $47 million in cash.

After spending $87 million in September Obama has $133 million on hand October 1,- so he can go for effective ground game.

GOTV

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 10:54:30 AM EST
$37m.  He has $47m at the start of the month and blew ten of it in the first two weeks.  Florida, alone, could eat that up.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:11:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Slightly off-topic, Boo, but early voting number continue to surge for us in Georgia.  I expected the AA share of the electorate to continue trending downward, but it actually ticked back up to 36%.  758,000 have voted.

Dems are also still outnumbering Reps better than 2-to-1 in NC.  In fact, black Dems outnumber all Republicans.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:13:03 AM EST
Dems are also still outnumbering Reps better than 2-to-1 in NC.  In fact, black Dems outnumber all Republicans.

Holy shit!  That is mind blowing.

"Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity"

by MikeInOhio on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:22:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
link for NC?
by BooMan on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:34:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Trying to find the diary, but, alas, the Kossack apparently didn't do his tags right.  This diary has the links to SecState websites for both GA and NC.  There's an Excel sheet NC posts everyday that has it.  Black Dems are a bit over 28% of the vote so far.  Reps are, I think, 27.1%, if I remember correctly.  So pretty damned impressive.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:42:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Cobb County has also now overtaken Gwinnett in the ATL suburban/exurban vote.  That's a very good sign.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:45:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Wouldn't it be better if Biden didn't campaign? He is simply not a very bright man.

I still can't believe this is the best deputy Obama could come up with.

The world's northernmost desert wind.

by Sirocco (sirocco2005 - AT - gmail.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 11:51:16 AM EST
Actually, Biden has a very high IQ score and is extremely smart.  But he is lacking somewhat in something called 'common sense'.  
by BooMan on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 12:27:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, although I don't put a lot of stock in the IQ methodology, I don't doubt that he is smart in some ways.

But if you were in politics, you wouldn't make the kind of blunders Biden routinely commit. I'm not sure I would either, and given 30+ years of experience, certainly not.

How could Biden be trusted to handle an international crisis competently, should it come to that?

The world's northernmost desert wind.

by Sirocco (sirocco2005 - AT - gmail.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 12:37:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Arthur Gilroy identified Biden's "blunders" as "truthette syndrome" which I consider very apt.

Those who dance are considered insane by those who can't hear the music. (George Carlin)
by tampopo on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 02:33:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy," Biden said. "I mean, that's a storybook, man."

"Truthette syndrome"? Sounds more like a blowhard with questionable hangups, to me.

The world's northernmost desert wind.

by Sirocco (sirocco2005 - AT - gmail.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 05:29:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Watching the primaries and now the election unfold, the Obama campaign has vision, strategy, and tactics. The organization, the focus and timing, the response and redirect ads - the introduction and refinement of Obama's positions and direction - I cannot believe the choice of Biden did not account for his tendency to speak his truth however awkwardly phrased.

With the multiple crises unfolding, I also cannot imagine that the VP in an Obama administration would be tucked away and brought out only for ceremonies. Again, based on what I am seeing of the Obama campaign process and Biden's response in the "debate" with Palin to the question of what he would do if he became President, I would guess that Biden is truly part of a team effort.

By the way, it might be possible that Biden's remarks were intended to be picked up and broadcast - a hint that we are leaving the world according to Disney now.

Those who dance are considered insane by those who can't hear the music. (George Carlin)

by tampopo on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 08:10:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You're probably right that Biden will play a main role in the Obama adm, but I'm not sure I find that reassuring...

This won't mean a lot to you, but he reminds me of this guy, one of the most ridiculed politicians in modern Scandinavian history.

Well, anyway.

The world's northernmost desert wind.

by Sirocco (sirocco2005 - AT - gmail.com) on Tue Oct 21st, 2008 at 09:51:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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