Booman Tribune

Obama Campaign's Morning Conference Call

by BooMan
Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 10:02:50 AM EST

Bill Burton and David Plouffe held a conference call this morning. Plouffe announced that the campaign is putting up ads in Georgia and North Dakota and Arizona. On the early vote, Plouffe said the Democrats outnumber Republicans in Florida by 200,000 votes. In North Carolina, 19% of all Democrats that have voted early have never voted before.

Plouffe said they feel confident that they will all the Kerry states, plus they have a realistic path to win all the battlegrounds, plus North Dakota, Arizona, and Georgia. They sent Obama to Iowa today "to pad their lead."

Because of the extensive early voting, people doing election-day GOTV will have to 'drive-and-knock' rather than walk.

In Florida, about a quarter of the sporadic-voting Democrats have already voted, which is roughly the same as the likely-voter pool.

The early vote is going 'extremely well' in Georgia. If they win it, they will win it narrowly. They have 4,800 neighborhood captains in Georgia.

In Arizona, their internal polling says that they're killing with Hispanics and suburbanites. It will be a battle to get to their 'win number' there.

The McCain campaign has bought 5,000 points of Television this week in the Tampa area, 'which may be the most ever in a political campaign.'

Finally, they are 'laser-focused' on getting 270 electoral votes and their decisions are not aimed at anything else. Helping Senate candidates is only of secondary importance.



Display:
I'm not overconfident - just confident that this is mostly over.  This is something akin to being mostly dead, but McCain doesn't have the right Billy Crystal in his corner.

We're doing viz and canvassing all day here in NH.  Did a viz this a.m. - 7 - 9 - and had about 3000 cars on a very busy NH highway (Rte 4).  More than 50% waves and toots, less than a handful of thumbs down or shaking heads, and zero profane shouts.  The latter kinda bothers me because I enjoy the verbal rejection almost as much as a horn toot or wave.  Something about getting under somebody's skin appeals to me.

We're running on fumes - trying to maintain our business and putting in 6 campaign hours per day.  For me, it's similar to hitting the 23 mile marker in a marathon - you know you only have a 5K to go!

It may not be completely over, but the fat lady is warming up.

by granitestater on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 10:57:46 AM EST
Yup.  It's time to execute the plan.  The pieces are all in place.
by BooMan on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:07:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
viz?

"We are all atheists about most of the gods that humanity has ever believed in. Some of us just go one god further." - Richard Dawkins
by halo0 (philiott at gmail dotcom) on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 03:24:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Black folks jumped back up to 35.58% of voters in Georgia this morning.  In yesterday's voting, they were over 40%.

Man, it really could flip.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:07:55 AM EST
Chambliss is running around North Georgia telling people that "the other folks are voting."  

I'd trade two other Senate seats to see this piece of crap lose.

by granitestater on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:10:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes this one and the congress lady from Minnesota.
by Quentin on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:14:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nelson & Nelson?  Sure!

Feingold & Leahy?  Uhhh, not so much.

by rustydude on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:17:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
hmmm...obviously this is just a rhetorical exercise that reflects frustration level.  

Since you're going to bring me back to reality, the sad truth is that I wouldn't trade 2 for 1.

by granitestater on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:40:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Just this once can we count Lieberman as a Dem for trading purposes?

FDR's response to progressive demands: "I agree. Now go out and make me do it."
by DaveW on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:51:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If the noise from the Dem caucus is accurate, it looks like Lieberman will lose his chairmanship but remain in the caucus.  The pragmatic side of me sees the necessity of this, but it is a jagged pill to swallow.

Even if we hit 60 without Lieberman, we're going to need his vote on some issues.  If he's shown anything these past four years, it's his willingness to be spiteful.  We only have to tolerate him for two more years, then, hopefully, in 2010 the Nutmegers will finally give us Lamont or Blumenthal.

by granitestater on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:59:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Lieberman was reelected in 2006, so unfortunately, we'll have him around until 2012.
by ask on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 12:02:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Correction appreciated.  I guess it just seems longer.
by granitestater on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 12:17:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The best option is to let him stay in the caucus and have a seat on one or two committees AS LONG AS he behaves -- which means no more GOP talking points, not more unauthorized talk show appearances, no more straying from the party line. He goes over the line, he's truly alone in the corner.

To me, that's a far more painful punishment than just cutting him loose. And it does a much better job of serving the Dem majority's purposes.

FDR's response to progressive demands: "I agree. Now go out and make me do it."

by DaveW on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 12:46:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
With 57 or 58 Democrats, he add nothing. We need him only if we have 59. Even then, the Nelsons can't be counted on, so Lieberman adds nothing but a trojan Horse in the caucus. He endorsed McCain. He campaigned with McCain. He's a Republican. I'd much rather try to induce some Northeast Republicans to switch.

And how about Bernie Sanders? Are those Senate counts counting him? He's more of a real Democrat than 90% of the others.

by The Voice In The Wilderness on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 06:56:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
is going to face some pretty tough choices pretty soon, and he's pretty much sealed his fate...l prefer doom...regarding the choices he'll have.

the hill reported yesterday that trent lott, ex RATpub sen, now high $ k st. lobbyist, is urging the RATs to `aggressively pursue' Lieberman:

"They should aggressively pursue him," Lott told The Hill, offering advice to his former colleagues in leadership and those close to the former Democrat-turned-Independent.

 Lieberman, who was the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2000 and still caucuses with Democrats, is in danger of losing his chairmanship of the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, his possible punishment for endorsing Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in this year's presidential race.

...

Conservative activists and commentators have denounced centrist GOP lawmakers such as these as "Republicans in Name Only," or RINOs, and are likely to react similarly to Lieberman.

steve benen offers this opinion on the prospect of him jumping the aisle:

Looking ahead, the caucus almost certainly won't have any incentive to leave Lieberman in the big chair[s] in 2009. First, they'll probably have a much bigger majority. Second, Lieberman has been an awful committee chairman. And third, Lieberman has to realize he'll be punished for his campaign-season conduct.

My guess is, if Lieberman loses his committee[s], he'll feel compelled to spite the party and caucus with the Republicans. I guess we'll see soon enough.

but l really have to agree with kos' take on this one, Listen to Trent, Joe:

...poor Joe has backed himself into a corner. Is he really going to abandon his decades as a liberal on issues such as health care, labor, and choice in order to join a Republican Party that is increasingly intolerant of apostates? He could, and would crush any reelection hopes of 2012. And for what? To be the ranking minority member on some committee? Or, he could be the "maverick" in the GOP caucus, and find that Republicans are far less tolerant of his ridiculous antics than even we were.

Or, he can stay a Democrat, without his plum committee chairmanship, and be relegated to irrelevant backbench status in a majority that won't need him except for issues he's likely to vote with the Democrats anyway (like the aforementioned choice, health care, labor, and so on). Connecticut voters would still get a chance in 2012 to elect someone new who wouldn't be a pariah in the majority party, and one who's ability to deliver for his constituents would be greatly diminished.

It's a delicious lose-lose proposition, isn't it?

If Lieberman wants to send Dems a big "fuck you", his best bet would be to resign his seat and let Republican Jody Rell appoint an interim successor, until a 2010 special election. But I'd be cool with that too, because believe it or not, it's an even more favorable map for our team than 2008 was on paper. So we would be able to bust past 60 seats, while getting rid of Lieberman four years earlier than originally planned.

So make that a lose-lose-lose proposition.

poor ol joe bet his future on the wrong horse, eh.

couldn't happen to a more deserving ass.

the revolution will not be televised...

by dada on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 01:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I REALLY want to see him get a well deserved beat down for what he did to Max Cleland!
by Cee on Sat Nov 1st, 2008 at 10:54:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Sign of the times:

it's falling our way. You gotta love the Obama Campaign folks:

Penn Judge Rejects GOP Suppression Bid

Big deal story over at Politico: Off the plane: NYPost, Washington Times, and Dallas Morning News

Drudge has lost his perch as the assignment editor

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 11:38:01 AM EST
And, no doubt, the irony of this statement is totally lost on the McCain campaign.
Meanwhile, John McCain's presidential campaign responded to the Times being kicked off the plane as "... not surprising."

"The least transparent and the least vetted candidate in history is now the least accessible -- not surprising," said McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds.

The McCain-Palin campaign.  The epitome of openness.

Heh...they are the gift that just keeps on giving.

"Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity"

by MikeInOhio on Fri Oct 31st, 2008 at 12:38:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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