Booman Tribune

Quote of the Day (next bailout ed.)

by Steven D
Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:14:53 AM EST

Sometimes a simple statement of the obvious is what we need to hear:

"If we can't get confidence back in the credit markets, I don't see how equity markets move that much higher," says David Twibell, president of wealth management for Colorado Capital Bank.

Indeed. Yesterday, Australia's central bank cut it's prime interest rate a full point which helped Asian markets rally a bit, but then bad news regarding British banks led to further declines in European stocks. Meanwhile the US Federal Reserve is talking about the unprecedented step of buying up massive amounts of short term commercial debt in order to fund business credit lines which are imperiled by the current financial crisis in the hopes that will will start the money flowing again.

The Federal Reserve is working with the Treasury Department on the plan to buy "commercial paper," a short-term financing mechanism that many companies rely on to finance their day-to-day operations, such as purchasing supplies or making payrolls, according to a person with knowledge of the plan. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because the plan is still being put together.

The market for this crucial financing, which relies on investors rather than banks, has virtually dried up. That has made it increasingly difficult and expensive for companies to raise money to fund their operations. Commercial paper is a way of borrowing money for short periods, typically ranging from overnight to less than a week.

The unstable situation has left many companies vulnerable. The notion under the plan is for the government to come up with a backstop that would provide companies with a new place to get cash. [...]

To help ease credit stresses, the Fed announced Monday it will provide as much as $900 billion in cash loans to squeezed banks. It said 28-day and 84-day cash loans being made available to banks will be boosted to $150 billion apiece. Those increases will eventually bring the amounts outstanding under the program to $600 billion.

Loans that will be made available in November to banks also will be increased to $150 billion each. That makes a total of $900 billion in credit potentially outstanding over year-end, the Fed said.

The Fed also said it will begin paying interest on commercial banks' reserves, another way to expand the central bank's resources to battle the credit crisis.

You know what this is called, my friends? It's called socialism, though it is socialism for the "free market" and not for the eponymous "Joe Six Pack" and "Hockey Moms" to which Sarah Palin has made such constant reference in her speeches. In short, the Fed and the Treasury are preparing to become the Banker of last resort for business, since all of our privately owned financial institutions have decided not to lend their precious cash anymore.

It seems that the free market, in its infinite wisdom, has panicked big time, and has decided to bring the economy crashing to a halt. Investors big and small are running to buy T-Bills and abandoning commercial paper and other corporate debt instruments. This has the strange effect of strengthening the dollar even as your local employers can't find the credit they need to fund their operations, meet payrolls, etc. And if this continues, sooner rather than later, businesses will start to fail, no one will be placing orders for new goods and services, and (this is the relevant part for you and me) workers will be laid off.

So you can see why the geniuses at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, diehard Republican free marketeers though they may be, have decided on another "Hail Mary" pass of government intervention in the financial markets. Desperate times and desperate measures as the saying goes. In normal times they would scoff at the idea of worshiping at the altar of a"Big Guvmint" (and its two demonic liberal Saint Johns: John Maynard Keynes and John Kenneth Galbraith).

But I guess the world really has turned upside down, because these stalwart men of business who chugged down the intellectual breast milk of Milton Friedman and Ayn Rand, revered figures of "freedom" who never saw a regulation they didn't want to strangle until it lay dead in its crib, are now turning to massive government intervention in the financial markets as our only hope of salvation. Who knew they would turn to the Satan of discredited "liberal economics" so quickly? Where is their faith in the invisible hand of self interest and rationality now? Oh ye of little faith.

I suppose the wisdom of crowds isn't all its cracked up to be, now is it? Because, despite all the assumptions conventional economic theory makes that people will act rationally out of self interest, and that "greed is good," the truth is that markets left to their own devices ride the emotional roller coaster of your typical person suffering from bipolar disorder. That's why the major economic powers of the world regulated business and financial markets after the Great Deporession, to insure such an event would never happen again. And it worked pretty well, until the free marketeers took over the world and devoted themselves to tearing down those regulatory walls in the name of "free trade" and "globalization" which was supposed it lead to a paradise on earth (or at least ever increasing wealth and higher standards of living for all). Too bad it was just another utopian dream that, like all misguided attempts to create a utopia, relied upon faith and dogma rather than cold, hard facts and evidence to support the delusions of grandeur of the utopian visionaries.

Unlike most utopian dreamers, however, whose influence is usually limited to the few brainwashed souls who buy into of their ideological fantasies, the mistakes the acolytes of Friedman and Rand made (paging Alan Greenspan) will be harming us, and our children and grandchildren, for generations to come.



Display:
Great post Steven D - well written and with good links.  I also agree that banks as credit intermediaries is a business model that isn't working anymore.  Governments will have to provide real credit to real businesses if the real economy isn't going to grind to a halt.  Wall Street doesn't add any value to the process anymore.  This is the end of Capitalism as we know it, and the end of Wall Street as the centre of global finance.

"We reported back to hearts what we had seen, and told our footsteps all about where we had been."
by Frank Schnittger (Frankschnittger at hotmail dotty communists) on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:46:12 AM EST
There is no free ride on anything on this planet---ever.  Progress is hard work and hard thinking; anyone like a demented Republican who tells you different is just that, demented.  So, yes, if necessary, let's get the federal government in as first lender and if the banks won't do their job, then to hell with the banks. Call it what you will, I call it survival.

And, while we are at it, let's tax those fat cats a healthy amount restoring the death tax in the process. They will squalk like bloody murder but they always do that. The public good is on the line and that takes precedence over everything, I mean everything!

Suppose you scrub your ethical skin until it shines, but inside there is no music, then what? Kabir

by Daredevil Don on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:53:01 AM EST

So you can see why the geniuses at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, diehard Republican free marketeers though they may be, have decided on another "Hail Mary" pass of government intervention in the financial markets.

The really, really stupid thing is that from the research I've been able to do THIS is what they should have been doing weeks ago.  Not going to Congress to ask them to bail out the bigwigs on Wall Street, but rather injecting the money right into the commercial paper market.  If the businesses are having a problem getting money for these short term loans, and there's a failure in the private sector in getting that money to them, then the most logical thing to do is to step up and have the government loan them the money directly.  Bypass the banks entirely if the banks are just going to sit on the money.

This is patently obvious - or at least it is to anyone who doesn't have such a blind fealty to the so-called "free market model" that these guys have been pushing for decades.  Bernanke needs to get his head out of his ass (and out of his Ayn Rand) and start thinking instead of panicking.  But these guys can't handle a model where the government intervenes so directly into the market.  So they tried to come up with these end-runs to get the bad debt out to free up the banks to start lending again when the short-term solution should have been to "stop the bleeding" and open up a government backed commercial paper market for the short term - worry about the longer term problems once you know that the economy is no longer teetering at the edge.  Morans.  The lot of them - morans.

by nonynony on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:30:26 AM EST
And this is the worst type of government intervention.  It's not intervening to make sure the players are playing by the rules, i.e. acting like a referee.  It's intervening in the markets and attempting to prop up certain players.  And the players they are trying to prop up happen to be their friends.  They let the players play by their own rules for decades and now that it's out of hand they still won't blow the whistle.   They are desperately trying to get the players to stand back up and get back to running around like they were before.

But as you note, the referee must do what works and what governments (referees) have done in the past in banking crises.  Nationalization.  Period.  I don't care if it sounds European or socialist or too french, or whatever.  We need to delever and to force insolvent banks to liquidate.  Non banks, like Goldman Sachs?  Fuck em.  Let em crash and burn.  I'll be cheering like it's a High School homecoming bonfire.  I hope they throw some of the executives on these fires.  Or in jail.  

Games over folks.  Time to blow the whistle.  Time to put Golman Sachs and the other bad boys in the penalty box.  We need good old-fashioned intervention.  Nationalization of banks and the destruction of capital.  These are inevitable.  Might as well face it now.  Time to pull Bush, Bernanke, Paulson, and the criminals off the field.  They should never have been refereeing in the first place.  When you let them referee they blow their whistle and hand get out of jail free cards to the worst offenders.  Time to take the whistle away from Bush and Paulson (Obama-I'm talkin' to you).

by SFHawkguy on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 12:50:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nony

Do you realize that this is taking unsecured credit from a select few banks and larding up the Fed's balance sheet? All this is doing is debasing the US dollar. It will have zero impact on these banks restarting lending.

Steven

An important point that is being lost in the shuffle is that quality non-financial companies have no problem raising money in the commercial paper market. That the credit default swap rate of Exxon is better than the US Treasury.

Trashing the US taxpayer balance sheet to prop up failed financial assets and managements will not solve anything it will only make things worse.

by ab initio on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 05:53:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh no, 'chugged down the intellectual breast milk of Milton Friedman and Ayn Rand'. The image made me choke. I guess Friedman and Rand will choke too when they hear that the Prime Minister of Iceland has gone to Moscow to negotiate a loan. Oh my, what will happen next?
by Quentin on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:37:38 AM EST
Of course in their graves.
by Quentin on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:45:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Steve, I'm flogging this over at brendancalling: This American Life has a really informative piece on the bailout.

It's pretty great, explaining the link between the credit default swap market, commercial paper, and why the banks won't lend to each other.  Great stuff.

Oh and it made me oppose the bailout even more.  

John Mccain Called his wife WHAT??

by brendan on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 08:38:09 AM EST
Okay, so I've seen a lot of people saying that this dates from Nixon's time and deregulation policies pursued by Carter and Regan. I am not going to dispute that, but since I wasn't alive then, from my understanding there was a major economic downturn and the only thing that worked was to deregulate and in effect create all this "fake" money. So you had a failure of Keynesianism, and now there is a failure of Hayek/Friedmanism (and incidentally the Chicago School that Barack Obama is associated with).

So what's left? What works?

by MNPundit on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 11:27:37 AM EST
Investors are awaiting Friday's emergency G7 meeting in Washington, they are expecting global coordinated rate cuts and recapitalization action over the weekend.

It's literally the world central banks' last gasp of an action.  Unless a massive new global initiative is hammered out before Sunday night when Asian markets open, yesterday's 800 point drop (only staved off when news of the meeting broke at 3 PM yesterday and rallied the markets) will look like a walk in the park.

More at Zandar vs. The Stupid.

by Zandar1 on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 11:39:21 AM EST
Indeed.  Where is the scorn that should be heaped on these cretins?  Where is the outrage?  

Thank you for providing it Steven.  Someone needs to do it.

And why are Obama and the Dems putting a lid on this outrage?  They don't want to get too angry or  too confrontational with their corporate overlords?

The American people must learn the lesson that conservative free-market crony capitalism is what caused this crisis.  These corrupt, supply-side, trickle down, free market terrorist fools hijacked our country and our economy.  Free market jihadis set this country back decades.  They have irrevocably screwed the American family while enriching their pals on Wall Street.

These butt lickers should be hanged in a public square for all to see:

Larry Kudlow, Laffer, Don Luskin, Phil Gramm, George W. Bush, Ben Stein, etc.

It's amazing to me the public understands this to the extent they have because the Democrats haven't made the argument.  The public has learned, on its own, that allowing the corporatists to run things has turned out badly.

Now if we could get the Democrats to learn this lesson.

by SFHawkguy on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 12:26:56 PM EST
.
Iceland's central bank says Russia loans it four billion euros

REYKJAVIK (AFP) - Russia will grant Iceland's central bank a loan of four billion euros (5.4 billion dollars) to help the Nordic country fend off the raging financial turmoil.

"This loan significantly bolsters the foreign exchange reserves of the central bank of Iceland and thus underpins the stability of the exchange rate of the krona," it added.

The announcement came as Iceland's Financial Supervisory Authority announced it would take control of the country's second largest bank, Landsbanki, after Prime Minister Geir Haarde said his government was ready to take over all the island's banks to ward off the prospect of national bankruptcy.

Scenario of a country's financial meltdown - Terror as Iceland faces economic collapse

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

by Oui on Tue Oct 7th, 2008 at 12:31:22 PM EST


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