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Predictions Thread

by BooMan
Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:18:09 PM EST

My final predictions:

Senate
Democrats- 57
Republicans- 41
Independents- 2
House
Democrats- 272
Republicans- 163
Electoral College
Obama- 370
McCain- 168
Popular Vote
Obama- 53.0%
McCain- 45.9%

Let's see yours?

Predictions Thread | 9 comments (9 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

* 56 Democratic Senate seats

42 Republican Senate seats

268 Democratic House seats

167 Republican House seats

349 Obama Electoral Votes

189 McCain Electoral Votes

52.2 Obama Popular Vote Percentage

43.9 McCain Popular Vote Percentage

I decided to use the George W. Bush method of science and looked deeply into the soul of the electorate to get these numbers.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:39:57 PM EST

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

you have a very high third-party vote for president. In 2004, it was .099%.

by BooMan on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:44:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

i think there will be a lot of disaffected GOPers and libertarians who will do a protest vote.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:46:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

yeah, I had this same conversation with CabinGirl, but we eventually both agreed that the high overall turnout would keep the absolute percentage of third-party voters at around 1 percent.

by BooMan on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:50:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

we shall see. i'll name the macbook after you if it ends up in my possession ;)

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:00:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

Obama's popular vote will top McCain by 10-points.

Senate: Dems 59

Btw this is a bad omen. Thinkprogress cites CNN in Florida - Gov. Charlie Crist bolts from McCain rally

CNN's Ed Henry reports that Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL) quickly bolted after Sen. John McCain's (R-AZ) sparsely attended rally today:
Republican Gov. Crist, who had previously agreed to do interviews with CNN and various local affiliates, bolted right after the rally with no explanation.
Update: Fox's Carl Cameron admitted that the size of the crowd today was "a little bit disturbing" for the McCain campaign, noting that organizers had set up venue for ten times the number of attendees.
Update: Adam Smith of the St. Petersburg Times writes, 'We are the quiet majority that goes out and gets things done. ... I smell victory,' said state Rep. Kevin Ambler. Good thing he smells it, because it's hard to see it with this crowd."

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:48:45 PM EST

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

Obama 364, 50.5%
McCain 174, 46.5%

Senate
D = 57
R = 41
I = 2

House
D = 261
R = 174 Only because I like the Electoral College symmetry.

I'm dreaming of a blowout...and it could happen. McCain fought this to the bitter end, probably saving the Republicans from total disgrace at the polls.

by granitestater on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:05:47 PM EST

Re: Predictions Thread (none / 0)

Obama 353-185
52-47

Senate 57-42-1

House 270-165

by RollaMO on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:29:08 PM EST

Here are mine (none / 0)

And ManEe, I'll name the macbook after you if I win...

56 Democratic Senate seats
42 Republican Senate seats
270 Democratic House seats
165 Republican House seats
357 Obama Electoral Votes
181 McCain Electoral Votes
53.8 Obama Popular Vote Percentage
45.6 McCain Popular Vote Percentage

"Little people are very stuff-intensive."

by CabinGirl on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 04:11:00 PM EST

Predictions Thread | 9 comments (9 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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