Booman Tribune

Predictions Thread

by BooMan
Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:18:09 PM EST

My final predictions:

Senate
Democrats- 57
Republicans- 41
Independents- 2

House
Democrats- 272
Republicans- 163

Electoral College
Obama- 370
McCain- 168

Popular Vote
Obama- 53.0%
McCain- 45.9%

Let's see yours?



Display:
* 56 Democratic Senate seats
  • 42 Republican Senate seats
  • 268 Democratic House seats
  • 167 Republican House seats
  • 349 Obama Electoral Votes
  • 189 McCain Electoral Votes
  • 52.2 Obama Popular Vote Percentage
  • 43.9 McCain Popular Vote Percentage

I decided to use the George W. Bush method of science and looked deeply into the soul of the electorate to get these numbers.  

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:39:57 PM EST
you have a very high third-party vote for president. In 2004, it was .099%.
by BooMan on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:44:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
i think there will be a lot of disaffected GOPers and libertarians who will do a protest vote.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz
by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:46:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yeah, I had this same conversation with CabinGirl, but we eventually both agreed that the high overall turnout would keep the absolute percentage of third-party voters at around 1 percent.
by BooMan on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:50:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
we shall see.  i'll name the macbook after you if it ends up in my possession  ;)

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz
by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail dot com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:00:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama's popular vote will top McCain by 10-points.

Senate: Dems 59

Btw this is a bad omen. Thinkprogress cites CNN in Florida - Gov. Charlie Crist bolts from McCain rally

CNN's Ed Henry reports that Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL) quickly bolted after Sen. John McCain's (R-AZ) sparsely attended rally today:

Republican Gov. Crist, who had previously agreed to do interviews with CNN and various local affiliates, bolted right after the rally with no explanation.

Update: Fox's Carl Cameron admitted that the size of the crowd today was "a little bit disturbing" for the McCain campaign, noting that organizers had set up venue for ten times the number of attendees.

Update: Adam Smith of the St. Petersburg Times writes, 'We are the quiet majority that goes out and gets things done. ... I smell victory,' said state Rep. Kevin Ambler. Good thing he smells it, because it's hard to see it with this crowd."



Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"
by idredit on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 02:48:45 PM EST
Obama 364, 50.5%
McCain 174, 46.5%

Senate
D = 57
R = 41
I = 2

House
D = 261
R = 174 Only because I like the Electoral College symmetry.

I'm dreaming of a blowout...and it could happen.  McCain fought this to the bitter end, probably saving the Republicans from total disgrace at the polls.

by granitestater on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:05:47 PM EST
Obama 353-185    
       52-47

Senate 57-42-1

House 270-165

by RollaMO on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 03:29:08 PM EST
And ManEe, I'll name the macbook after you if I win...

56 Democratic Senate seats
42 Republican Senate seats
270 Democratic House seats
165 Republican House seats
357 Obama Electoral Votes
181 McCain Electoral Votes
53.8 Obama Popular Vote Percentage
45.6 McCain Popular Vote Percentage


"Little people are very stuff-intensive."

by CabinGirl on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 04:11:00 PM EST


Display:
Go to: [ Booman Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]
Menu
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password





Find textbooks at Alibris!

NOTE: Overstock bests Amazon's prices and is "blue."

THE BOOKS WITH "BUZZ":
______________

Senator Edward M. Kennedy tells his extraordinary personal story:

True Compass: A Memoir
by Edward M. Kennedy.

Read Barack Obama's vision for America:

The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream
by Barack Obama

Boran2 and maryb2004 recommend:

The Big Over Easy: A Nursery Crime
by Jasper Fforde

Must-have information for all presidents-and citizens-of the twenty-first century?

Physics for Future Presidents: The Science behind the Headlines
Richard A. Muller

rae recommends:

Dark Ages America: The Final Phase of Empire
by Morris Berman.

On BooMan’s shelf:

Team of Rivals: The Political Genius of Abraham Lincoln
by Doris Kearns Goodwin

This looks interesting:

Adventure Divas
by Holly Morris

Here’s a good one from
Elizabeth Gilbert:

Eat Pray Love
by Elizabeth Gilbert

"Crash" * Best Motion Picture, Academy Awards * Only $11.79 at Overstock * 2006 SAG Winner, Best Ensemble

Check out
Powell's new section:
NEW FAVORITES

Selected new arrivals at 30% off

Recommended by Indianadem and ejmw:
The Conscience of a Liberal
by Paul Wellstone

From northcountry’s bookshelf:

The New Golden Age:
The Coming Revolution Against
Political Corruption and Economic Chaos
by Ravi Batra

A novel about contractors in Iraq from the woman that runs The Spy That Billed Me:

Outsourced: A Novel
from RJ Hillhouse.


Great Deals
----- * ^ * -----

Find mystery novels by Nancy Pickard ("Kansas")



Challenging Empire: How People, Governments, and the UN Defy US Power by Phyllis Bennis (interviewed on DN!)


Featured by Keith Olbermann, New (Powell's Sale): Rogue State: A Guide to the World's Only Superpower by William Blum (whose other books merit serious consideration)


"Explosive" State of War: The Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration
by James Risen


The book the CIA doesn't want you to read: Jawbreaker: The Attack on Bin Laden and Al Qaeda: A Personal Account by the CIA's Key Field Commander
Larry Johnson's review


BT's all-time best seller:

PERMACULTURE:
A Designers' Manual

$79.95 * Sale: $59.95


Unequal Sisters: A Multicultural Reader in U.S. Women's History (Third Edition)


The Undercover Economist: Exposing Why the Rich Are Rich, the Poor Are Poor And Why You Can Never Buy a Decent Used Car!


The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
by Timothy Egan


Green Press Initiative
----- * ^ * -----


Journalistas: 100 Years of the Best Writing and Reporting by Women Journalists by Eleanor Mills * NYT review


Bury Me Standing: the Gypsies & Their Journey


1491: New Revelations of the Americas before Columbus



Brokeback Mountain
by Annie Proulx
----- * ^ * -----
Check out Powell's
"At The Movies"


Imperial Ambitions: Conversations on the Post-9/11 World by Noam Chomsky (Power & Terror: Post 9-11 Talks)


The Price of Privilege:

How Parental Pressure and
Material Advantage Are Creating a Generation of
Disconnected and Unhappy Kids

by Madeline Levine


Save 35-70% on
name brand clothing,
footwear, and outdoor gear
at SierraTradingPost.com

:





We listened to PEN American Center's "State of Emergency" and found 1940s books by Curzio Malaparte only at Alibris. (Selection (MP3) excerpted from "The Skin.")

Alibris - Books You Thought You'd Never Find
Banned Books * Are you a fan of Film Noir, Art House, Documentaries or Hong Kong Action? * Searching for a long-lost children's book or a first printing of Miles Davis' Kind of Blue on vinyl? Find it at Alibris!

:
:
www.Patagonia.com


Listed on BlogShares

© 2009 Booman Tribune