How reputable are PPP and the CNN poll, though?  I wish SurveyUSA would get off its ass and do some more primary polling.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

Hope these trends hold.

how about a requiem?

But I don't want to jnix it so I'll hold off on shopping new strings for my violin.

Obama started airing ads in VT.  Ad features Senator Patrick Leahy and his wife.

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

No idea what the results will be for Wisconsin, but I do feel good about his chances there. I think he'll score a high single-digit/low double-digit victory in WI, along with a blowout in HI (nice of the Clinton campaign to finance Chelsea's vacation there, though). Texas certainly seems to be trending Obama's way, and he hasn't even visited yet. Ohio's going to be the tough one to crack...the demographics just don't shape up well. Hopefully the unions can help out Obama there.

If Ohio and Texas are a wash, I'm not sure how Clinton can argue for going on. She'll lose Vermont (and probably Rhode Island as well), leaving her somewhere in the vicinity of at least 150 pledged delegates behind Obama. The next 2 contests before Pennsylvania (Wyoming, Mississippi) will be blowouts for Obama, and with a combined 58 delegates, he could widen his margin to as much as 175 pledged delegates. Furthermore, Clinton is not picking up any more superdelegate endorsements at this point, so it's going to become increasingly difficult for her to keep gaining there.

Simply put, she won't have the momentum or the money to go until Pennsylvania. Not even her most diehard supporters will contribute to a campaign that has close to a mathematically impossible shot of winning the nomination (notwithstanding superdelegates), and giving Obama 6 full weeks to focus on PA will make it easy enough to flip the state despite the institutional support for Clinton. The Obama campaign's already got tablers out registering voters and signing up people for volunteering in Philly.

That's my long $.02. I just hope that after March 4th, the big players who are still on the sidelines (Pelosi, Reid, Dean, and Gore) push for the Clintons to drop out. That's my sense, as long as Obama performs well.

Team Clinton focused on March 4th coming out of SuperTuesday.  

Now it appears they will fail, yet again, in Texas - one of the 2 contest THEY said "mattered"

If Obama does win WI - especially big and if Clinton fails to win Texas it should be over.  
Gore, Edwards, Dean, etc need to step in and make that clear.

Join Soulforce-seeking Justice for God's GLBT children.

But even so, I like the way this is sounding. If Obama can keep it close in OH and actually win out in Texas (he doesn't even have to do it by double digits, just a plurality of delegates will do) at some point he should be getting close to where, even if all the currently uncommitted superdelegates line up against him, the pledged delegate total should put him over the top.

I wonder if at some point, even if it looks like Obama can win without it, he will offer her something to entice her to drop out. Not even necessarily to endorse him -- just to conclude she needs to spend more time with the family. :) I'm not sure what that would be, although I can imagine worse UN ambassadors than a former President.

I for one welcome our new Twitter overlords. @Omir55

The numbers out of Texas today are really encouraging, especially with two weeks left for him to focus on the state.   And the numbers out of Wisconsin look good, although I won't count my chickens until they hatch.  But if he does win Wisconsin, I think the fact that she sent Bill there a lot of last week and her highly visible presence this the last weekend might be counted as her strongly contesting that state. She'll say she didn't spend much time there but I think the media would go with the narrative that she tried to win there.

So, after SuperTuesday I said

If Obama wants to knock her out he needs (1) to run the table unti March 4 making sure to win a high visibility state she's contesting AND (2)win Texas and Ohio.  He may accomplish (1) but I don't see him accomplishing (2) - and winning delegates but not popular vote won't count for a knockout.  

Somewhere (I can't find it) I said that if he won only one of those states she'd probably still go on to Pennsylvania - so it's not a sure fire knock out.

I still think that's true, although if he wins Texas I think it's just a matter of time.  So maybe we'll have to listen to a few arias from the fat lady.  Fortunately I love opera. . And I long ago became resigned to the fact that Wagnerian Opera always ends two hours after you are ready for it to end.

Yeah, don't count the chickens, yet.  HRC probably won't go very soon, and won't go quietly.

Oh, there you are, Perry. -Phineas -SLB-

Boo, what are you smoking? At this time four years ago, John Kerry was besting Bush in all the polls, too.

If that is true, then there is massive movement to Obama in Ohio.

This race may be over on March 5.

I still think if Obama wins by the PPP's 53-40 in WI tomorrow, it's pretty much over. At that point Dem voters will have to choose between an ugly convention fight about FL and MI, and superdelegates. There will no longer be any reasonable chance of Clinton amassing a knock-out lead before then. The only way to avoid a convention fight that risks handing everything to McCain is to vote for Obama in the next round of primaries. Voters may not be sufficiently tuned into the campaign details to figure that out, but their Dem incumbents will see where their own best interests lie, and act accordingly.

FDR's response to progressive demands: "I agree. Now go out and make me do it."

>>nationally

That's okay.  The country is not significant.  ;)