Well Boo,

You have convinced me. After tonight I think what you said about the possibilities of Obama and coat tails is likely. He will have HUGE coat tails. You had to read between the lines with the horrible media coverage we get, but if you paid close attention you could see the possibilities of Obama.

I still think he will not be as tough as I would like, but with sweeps in congress it might not matter.

nalbar

One more thing,

On MSNBC Fineman said something interesting. He said;

'What Clinton did tonight is she managed to fight Obama to a standstill'.

He said that while claiming Clinton was doing well. Yet that statement exposes that Clinton is staving off defeat. She was the FRONTRUNNER! yet it is SHE that is on the defensive.

Fineman did not even seem to know what he was admitting.

nalbar

"We are the ones we've been waiting for" - I'm almost positive that that phrase comes out of a Native American tradition.

I like your analysis and tend to agree.  He has had some serious momentum the past few weeks since Iowa, and considering that he's up against the Clinton machine, I think today was a great exercise in democracy.  Can't wait to see the delegate shake-out.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

Great post Booman.  I only hope you are right.  I loved Obama's speech tonight: plenty of inspiration, but with just the right edges highlighted.  He will sweep the Chesapeake primaries by a huge margin and then it will set up for the showdown in Ohio.  Forget Texas - Ohio will be extremely important, and, if he can win big, decisive.  He's a midwesterner and I think that will resonate.  I live in the Philly area and I can't stand the negative, churlish, hostile, suspicious, paranoid, ignorant, parochial, excessively ethnic, typical white Democratic voter here and throughout the Northeast.  Since I derive from this group I have special permission to be honest about them.  I hate to see Hillary win any states that Obama should have won, but I would say that this constituency doesn't deserve a candidate as good as Obama.  The decent people of Ohio do.

hillary and mccain got their collective asses handed to them in colorado tonight.

obama beat hillary 2:1 and mitt trounced st. john 3:1. at my caucus, obama got about 75% of the vote, over hillary, no one else made the threshold.

attendance was off the charts. talking to one of the precinct captains and he said they estimated they'd get about 3 times as many as last time, but they had to be off by at least 50%. there were 8 precincts and about 400-500 people trying to squeeze into a small elementary school...parking was a nightmare, and probably the best adjective to describe it would be chaotic.

we really need to go to formal primaries again, but it was cool to see that many people show up.

for those interested, the NYT has a really good interactive Politics page here, that will give you county by county breakdowns of the states in play today.

that's all l've got, and l'm beat...g'night all.

lTMF'sA

lTMF'sA...the revolution will not be televised...Peace

I think it looks very good.  I am happy with the results tonight and confident about Barack's chances from here on.  It isn't going to be easy and he will need lots of help, but I think that I will be voting for Barack Obama in three elections he will win: the PA primary in April, the Nomination at the Convention in August and the Presidency of the United States in November.

My job is not to represent Washington to you, but to represent you to Washington- Obama
Philly for Obama

Yes. Per the Clinton camp's own projections, they did poorly. They expected to knock Obama out by tonight. They clearly did not and they are having to try and play catch-up with the inferior candidate.

Better start organizing in Philly, Boo. Your precinct may be the deciding votes this year...

I said this in the other thread, but he's still got an uphill battle.  He needs to run the table between now and March 4 and then he needs a definitive win in Texas and/or Ohio.  He needs to simply win a big state.  But to convince the superdelegates he needs a DEFINITIVE win of a big state.  

But, he can worry about that tomorrow. Tonight was a good night for him.  Not a perfect night.  Not even a great night.  But a good night.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

AZ's latest:

82.1% Reporting
Hillary Clinton - 167,715 or 50.3%
Barack Obama - 138,172 or 41.5%
John Edwards - 19,747 or 5.9%

I'm getting sleepy  

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

Goes to Obama.  That surprises me.  I thought that would be Clinton territory like the Republican areas of CA.  

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

There's some number cruncing and wonderful insight going on over there.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

The NYT had clinton ahead by about 80 delegates as of 8:00 AM.  I think they're still counting.

If you mean in the "he came really close and now he has to win the spin war" sense, well then he probably did win.

Brendan Calling John Mccain

Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe...

By winning a majority of delegates and a majority of the states, Barack Obama won an important Super Tuesday victory over Senator Clinton in the closest thing we have to a national primary. From Colorado and Utah in the west to Georgia and Alabama in the south to Senator Clinton's backyard in Connecticut, Obama showed that he can win the support of Americans of every race, gender, and political party in every region of the country. That's why he's on track to win Democratic nomination, and that's why he's the best candidate to defeat John McCain in November.

Except maybe the two-headed Clinton/Obama candidate.

It was a draw.

Clinton did not steamroller Obama and Obama did not baraka Clinton.

This is a tie ballgame going into the middle/late innings. She'll score a few runs before the convention and so will he. Short of some scandalous news or the unlikely event that one or the other campaign or campaigner will commit a career-ending gaffe they will enter the convention in a virtual tie, and in a convention the conventional always has the advantage. That's why they call them conventions, isn't it?

So...Clinton wins because of her institutional advantages. If she is at ALL politically intelligent (And baby, bet on it. She is.) she will see that the numbers do not give her a lock on a race with McCain unless she somehow convinces Obama to run with her and thus give her the aid of his appeal to the young, the uncommitted and the huge black vote that will turn out to support him. She makes him some promises and he says yes.

And they win in a landslide.

My own take on the probablity of this happening?

3 to 2 against.

Against that eventuality?

I fear that:

1-She will not have the courage to pull that particular trigger due to a fear that he will somehow outshine her.

And/or

2-By the time that they have gotten that far the Clinton campaign will have used so many Rovian tactics against Obama that he will tell her to go fuck herself if she does approach him.

For it?

1-It's a lock to win.

and

2-Obama is a very practical politician (As is Ms. Clinton) AND vastly ambitious.

Can't wait until the conventions, myself.

Can't WAIT!!!

May you be born(e) into interesting campaigns.

Later...

AG

Goodness had nothing to do with it, dearie.-Mae West

Living here just outside of San Francisco, I will be interested to see how the voting breaks down after all the votes are counted. For most Cali elections there is a huge initial difference between candidates, either because initially a large chunk of already-counted absentee votes are thrown into the mix or that because the first votes counted are an L.A. precinct or two. This morning things were a lot closer. The headlines from last night may not be as thunderous as all the votes are counted.

I think Missouri was lost to the Clintons when Bill showed up in KC and had about 2,000 people show-up. A week later Obama comes to KC and he has 2,000 people in the Streets who couldn't get into the auditorium because is was filled to capacity.

AP delegate totals which includes projections:
Clinton: 845
Obama: 765

McCain: 613
Romney: 269
Huckabee: 190

--
Albert Yee
Philadelphia, PA
http://dragonballyee.com/blog

Anyone that reads this blog knows that I am pulling for Barack Obama and that I have low personal regard for Mrs. and Mr. Clinton. So, yeah, I am biased. But Obama won the night tonight by every available measure.

So why do I feel a little like Kevin Drum

I have no idea what the right narrative is for yesterday's Democratic primary. I can only say what's inside my own head, rational or irrational as it might be. And although Obama obviously made up a huge amount of ground over the past two weeks, what it felt like to me was disappointment. He seemed to be coming on so strong that it seemed inevitable he'd win one or two of the big Hillary states -- or at least make them into close races -- but he didn't. In the end, Hillary won California, New York, New Jersey, and Massachussets by double digit margins. It really seemed to take a lot of wind out of the Obama surge.

Did I wake up yesterday with unreasonable expectations?

I just don't know.  I think I have to ponder on this a little bit.

"Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity"