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Predictions Open Thread

by clammyc
Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 08:42:22 PM EST

I predict Obama wins Vermont. Oh wait, he already did. Never mind.....

Predictions Open Thread | 73 comments (73 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

I predict Obama wins Vermont, Texas and Ohio. A near tie in Rhode Island. Hard to say who wins that one, but if Hillary wins it, she'll have all the excuse that she's been looking for to drop the confetti and announce her long-planned coronation.

by RandyH on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 08:47:08 PM EST

At her sad campaign party (none / 1)

That looks like a dinner/award ceremony for a IT company. "Solutions for America"?

THUD

Sorry, I fell asleep reading her sign.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 08:58:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

.
Looking at CNN broadcast, number of votes in approx. 1.2 million (R+D) for which they claim less than 1%. I know Texas is BIG, but now they are overdoing it!

Nevertheless, I predict Obama will win Texas by an unexpected clear decision.

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

by Oui on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 08:59:10 PM EST

Re: CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

early voting is included in that. I think the early voting was close to 1 million.

My Three Cents - 50% more opinion for free

by clammyc (clam227atyahoo) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:11:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

What oui is saying is that over 1 million votes has to be more than 1% of the total vote.

I just saw they were predicting 3.6 to 3.8 million turnout.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:13:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

Yes, but I believe the 2% reflects precincts with votes today.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:17:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

Yeah. That makes sense. And the first 500,000 to a 1,000,000 votes at 0% were the early vote totals. Meaning, if I'm figuring this right, Obama won early voting by 60/40 or 65/35 or something in that range -- and that is 1/4 or 1/3 of the total 3-4 million turnout.

And that would mean, she'd need to beat him pretty badly with today's turnout to erase that early voting lead.

Well. That's my wishful thinking.

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:20:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: CNN Computer Glitch? (none / 0)

That sounds right.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:20:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No more Chuckabee! (none / 1)

Yippee! I'm dancing around listening to his concession speech.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:20:13 PM EST

Re: No more Chuckabee! (none / 0)

awwwww I'm going to miss the Huckster.

I hope he gets his own sitcom next season.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

LOL (4.00 / 2)

Him and Chuck Norris in Everbody Loves Chuckabee. Wacky hijinks ensues as a martial arts expert and self-deprecating preacher travel the country solving crimes.

A sort of Kung-Fu meets Father Dowling Mysteries, if you will.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:24:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

I can see it now.

What are they driving?

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:26:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

I think a beige Buick with the left blinker constantly on.

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:27:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

Wouldn't that be the right blinker?

by Bob In Pacifica on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:06:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A pickup truck (none / 0)

An old beater with an American flag, but instead of stars, there'll be little crosses.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:29:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A pickup truck (none / 0)

They need a female sidekick and possibly an animal of some sort.

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:35:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bay Buchanan (none / 0)

She's like an angry badger on crack.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:36:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Bay Buchanan (none / 0)

so true.

by BooMan on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:38:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Bay Buchanan (none / 0)

She could be in that car commercial with the angry badger too.

She's going to need work to stay busy -- what with the Republican primary ending today.

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:40:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A pickup truck (none / 0)

Hillary. (For the female of course.)

It will create dramatic tension.

And she did live in Arkansas.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:37:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A pickup truck (none / 0)

Daisy Duke and that Orangutan from "Every Which Way But Loose," (if he's still acting anyway -- some say he's gone all Tibetan Scientologist -- but I think we could still get him).

And, of course, with all these right-o's, I think we should get the old car from the Dukes of Hazzard, too.

Remember when racist was funny! Man, maybe we really have progress. Oh, but wait, there is all this dog whistling coming from somewhere. My ears. My ears!!

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:40:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A pickup truck (none / 1)

"right turn", Clyde.

great movie. There are a few people I wish I had Clyde around for....

My Three Cents - 50% more opinion for free

by clammyc (clam227atyahoo) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:42:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A pickup truck (none / 1)

I loved that orangutan.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:45:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

IBAOOMM

I blew almonds out of my mouth. Great laugh.

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:26:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

maybe you should write the screenplay ...

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:28:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

HA! (none / 0)

You can't go around just making up internet acronyms, you're beginning to sound like my husband.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:30:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HA! (none / 0)

FMLONS

Forgive my lack of net savvy.

Also. Your husband. He's a clever man, no?

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:31:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sure. Why not? (none / 1)

Except that he does it when we talk or chat. So he'll be like, "WWYLFDT?" Really, really slow and I'm like, what? and he wants me to flippin' guess and then two hours later I learn that he asked, "What would you like for dinner tonight?" Meanwhile, I'm dead on the ground from starvation.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:35:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HA! (none / 0)

I have a creepy feeling that YBSLH (You're Beginning to Sound Like my Husband) may start to catch on as an acronym, now.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:34:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

YBLSH (none / 0)

I'm so on board with that. We need to enter you into the internet slang dictionary for that one.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:37:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

Huck is invoking the Alamo. He's gooooooood.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:33:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

Everything's a battle.....victory or death.

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:34:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: LOL (none / 0)

How did he lose Texas with Chuck Norris on board.

"Have you no sense of decency, sir. At long last, have you left no sense of decency?" -- Boston Attorney Joseph Welch, taking down Sen. Joseph McCarthy.

by BostonJoe on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:34:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh shit that's funny.... (none / 0)

And of course with special guest appearances by Stephen Colbert as the uptight FBI agent, Jon Stewart as the wacky but loveable Jewish sheriff in small town New England and Conan O'Brien as the retired NYC detective all arguing over jurisdiction and who gets the credit for the solving the crimes.

by northcountry on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:05:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

RI goes to Clinton (none / 0)

According to MSNBC. I guess that mean she's broken that 11 race losing streak.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:23:05 PM EST

Re: RI goes to Clinton (none / 0)

Time for Hillary to get on the air and declare victory for the entire night. If she does it now, she's pretty safe that she won't be pre-empted for Obama.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:27:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: RI goes to Clinton (none / 0)

I'm hoping Obama comes out with a great speech to make up for the rather shitteous week he's had.

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:28:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Me too (none / 0)

I think it's high time for a new speech anyway.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:54:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I bet RI is glad (none / 0)

That they count. You know, cause they're not a big state.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:30:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Let's try that again (none / 1)

You know, cause they're now a big state.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:31:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

According to an Ohio blogger"

The absentee balloting in Cuyahoga county appears to be neck and neck for Obama and Clinton. I think that Cuyahoga county is going to be close.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:50:30 PM EST

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Obama's 130K vote lead is down to 40K...8% reporting

by liberaljournal on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:56:14 PM EST

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Do you know which parts of the state are coming in first? If south Texas, this would be expected.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:57:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

ambinder reports

Many of the early vote "precincts" in Texas have largely been counted, and the election day precincts are beginning to allow Hillary Clinton to close the margin with Barack Obama. But a lot of the bigger counties haven't counted their early votes yet, so the margin could widen in Obama's favor again.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:04:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Austin, Houston, and Dallas haven't reported at all yet.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:15:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

i am so flippin nervous.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail.com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:16:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Thank you! I thought I was the only one.

The precinct nos. keep going up, but nothing else changes, and what's there isn't pleasing.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:18:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Just wait until November...

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:18:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

I hope refinish checks in later and tells us about his caucus.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:20:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

You think YOU'RE nervous? I'm here at the restaurant relying on reports frnm you guys! I can't even scream at the TV!!

The avalanche has started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote. -- Ambassador Kosh

by Omir the Storyteller (omir.the.storyteller -CAT- gmail -DOG- com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:52:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

The man is living a delusion if he thinks those things haven't already happened in Iraq.

ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

wake me up when he's finished.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:56:17 PM EST

Scoot over (none / 0)

I fell asleep on the floor getting up from the chair.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 09:57:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It's OVER (none / 1)

That was the longest month of my life.

What?

McCain only talked for 20 minutes? I'll be damned. I guess it's time to wake up my toes.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:03:29 PM EST

Re: It's OVER (none / 0)

His teleprompter failed? I stopped watching and having him on in the background - he always just sounds boring so I couldn't tell.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:05:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

I have to admit, never thought the pander bear could pull off the upset. Now that he has, I can't wait for AZ bloggers to unleash our compiled history of his record. It's not pretty.

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail.com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:04:45 PM EST

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

play the delagates game. Not sure if they're counting FL & MI?

by eeblet on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:07:41 PM EST

Buchanan's an idiot (none / 0)

And good for Maddow for calling him on it.

Buchanan said that Obama's getting the elites and the young. Maddow said, that was stupid when you saw him winning MO, GA, VA and UT.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:19:11 PM EST

Re: Buchanan's an idiot (none / 0)

yep, keeps blathering about 'white ethnic voters'

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail.com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:20:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I asked about that in another thread (none / 0)

Just what the hell is that? I mean, I hate when blacks, Latinos and Asians are dumped in as ethnic voters or when people say, "I eat ethnic food" and they're talking about tacos. But 'white ethnic voters'? It's been the buzzword of th night and it sounds stupid.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:22:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I asked about that in another thread (none / 0)

If they're talking about Cleveland area it's Polish, Slovakian, German...

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:24:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Meet me in Indiana (none / 0)

That's was Olbermann said was outside on a sign at the Clinton headquarters. We all know that the Clinton's firewall would move, but to May?

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:21:17 PM EST

Re: Meet me in Indiana (none / 0)

On the upside, my primary is May 6th also and it might actually mean something! Gaaa, I hope it's over before that!

Texas is now O-50 C-49

"Don't waste your time on the clowns, watch the real show"

by Second Nature on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:23:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Meet me in Indiana (none / 0)

Could it be? We might actually get to decide something meaningful in our lifetime? (Primarywise)

"Only when we are no longer afraid do we begin to live." Dorothy Thompson, Journalist

by Indianadem on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 11:12:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

The Cuyahoga County BOE is predicting that Cuyahoga results will be counted by 4:30 a.m.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:24:17 PM EST

Clinton Legal Challenge?!? (none / 0)

Clinton legal team challenging in Houston and in SE Ohio?

The more control, the more that requires control. This is the road to chaos. -Frank Herbert, The Dosadi Experiment

by chimneyswift on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:26:37 PM EST

It's tied in Texas. (none / 0)

19% reporting.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:29:54 PM EST

Explain TX to me (none / 0)

I know the early voting everywhere, but Houston has been counted. Then I heard Chuck Todd on TV babbling about how Obama votes from today will be counted early and Clinton's votes will trickle in. Then we still got the caucus results on top of that.

Is that right?

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:37:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Explain TX to me (none / 0)

Don't look to me; I"m just watching the numbers. Aside from the fact that the caucus results apparently haven't started to be reported yet, I don't know a thing about it.

I suppose that having to explain Texas is one of the burdens of being a Texan. Happily, none of those burdens are mine.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:47:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

I just got off of the phone with my sister in Frisco, TX and her caucus went for Obama 11 delegates to 5.

The Underground Railroad

by Oscar In Louisville on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:44:12 PM EST

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

my nerves!

22%

Barack Obama 702,818 49.2%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 699,064 48.9

Latino Político | "We are condemned to kill time, thus we die bit by bit." - Octavio Paz

by Man Eegee (man.eegee at gmail.com) on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:45:32 PM EST

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

And no discernible improvement in OH -- still 57% - 41%.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:49:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

From what I've read, the roads in Cleveland are a sheet of ice and they've shut down one interstate and that's slowing down the delivery of the ballots to the BOE.

They don't expect to be finished counting until 4;30 a.m. tomorrow.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 10:57:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Predictions Open Thread (none / 0)

Thanks, Mary.

by no3reed on Tue Mar 4th, 2008 at 11:00:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Predictions Open Thread | 73 comments (73 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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