Booman Tribune ~ A Progressive Community

Everything is Going to be Okay

by BooMan
Mon May 12th, 2008 at 08:41:10 PM EST

Statistics have a way of smashing punditry:

In hypothetical general election head-to-heads, Obama leads McCain by slim 51 to 44 percent margin, with the public split 49 percent for Clinton to McCain's 46 percent. Against McCain, Obama does better than Clinton with African Americans, those with college degrees or greater education and among younger voters. Clinton, however, draws more support than does Obama against McCain among older white voters, white women and whites with family incomes under $50,000 a year.
Against either Democrat, age could be a significant obstacle for McCain. Only three in 10 said they were "entirely comfortable" with the prospect of a 72-year-old newly-elected president, about half as many as said they would be similarly comfortable with an African American or female president.

I think people need to stop the hand wringing.

Everything is Going to be Okay | 10 comments (10 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

Joe Lieberman needs to be told to stop this sh^^t

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 09:05:30 PM EST

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 1)

Joe just has a natural gift at being a malignant, smear-happy horse's ass. He chooses to share his gift...
November's a long way away, ain't it?

by Sprocket77 on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 10:10:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 1)

Never underestimate the breathtaking audacity of the Republican machine when it comes to stealing an election. Call it hand wringing if you will but the last two presidential contests were very likely stolen from Democrats. How can any doubts about the coming vote be cast as unwarranted? And don't counter that this time we'll be prepared for it. Echoes of 2004? Hell, the bastards will storm a recount session and physically intimidate poll workers into shutting it down. Won't it be a Republican controlled Justice Department we'll be calling upon to stop such shenanigans? Fat chance of getting help there. SCOTUS? Hah! Nah, call it hand wringing, I'll call it logically expecting the worst they can do.

by steve duncan on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 09:21:42 PM EST

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

they lost control of the senate last time. they're losing special elections — in "safe" districts. the so-called "machine" is off its wheels and the drivers can't turn it around. november can't come soon enough.

i'm glad you asked

by aarrgghh on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 09:57:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

Yep, it is looking good, and I'll betcha that when Obama officially gets the nom, his numbers will beat McCain even more senseless than his usual brand of senseless (which is already extremely senseless!) . But I'm still kinda nervous about the Bradley/Wilder/I'm-Just-Your-Friendly-Neighborhood-Closet-Racist Effect.

by Sprocket77 on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 10:03:14 PM EST

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

A slim 51 to 44 percent margin? 49 and 46 is a split? Must be that new math.

Fear will keep the local systems in line. -Grand Moff Tarkin Survivor Left Blogistan

by boran2 (blogistan@yahoo.com) on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 10:29:52 PM EST

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

Yeah, ''51 to 44'' ain't that "slim" in my book (especially if we're the "51") -- "convincing" I'd call it.

by Sprocket77 on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 10:37:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

polling statistics usually come with a margin of error, usually 3%.

so 51 to 44 could actually be 48 to 47.

and 49 and 46 could be a dead heat.

i'm glad you asked

by aarrgghh on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 10:41:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

I understand MOE, but this writer is asserting a tie/split/dead heat as a certainty. That is not necessarily so.

Fear will keep the local systems in line. -Grand Moff Tarkin Survivor Left Blogistan

by boran2 (blogistan@yahoo.com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 09:10:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Everything is Going to be Okay (none / 0)

62 in the senate, baby!

~~~~~ 'The highest function of Ecology is the understanding of its consequences'

by Drewsky on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 12:07:31 AM EST

Everything is Going to be Okay | 10 comments (10 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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