Booman Tribune ~ A Progressive Community

Election Thread III

by BooMan
Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:03:48 PM EST

Hillary Clinton has a current lead of 39,000 in Indiana.

Here's the outstanding vote.

3% in Indianapolis. That's roughly 18,000 votes. At 67%-33% Obama, it should break 12,000-6,000. That puts her lead at about 33,000.

11% in Hamilton County. That's about 4,500 votes. At 60%-40% Obama, it should break 2,700-1,800. That puts her lead at roughly 32,000.

57% of Monroe County (Indiana U.). That's about 12,000 votes. At 66%-34% Obama, it should break about 8,000-4,000. That puts her lead at 28,000.

I think turnout in Lake County will be about 125,000. Here's how that translates:

Lake County, 125,000 votes

Obama 70%: Obama 87500, Clinton 37500= 50,000
Obama 67%: Obama 83750, Clinton 41250= 42,500
Obama 64%: Obama 80000 Clinton 45000= 35,000
Obama 61%: Obama 76250 Clinton 48750= 27,500

If Obama can win Lake County with about 64% of the vote, he will win Indiana. At 61%, it's a tie.

Election Thread III | 40 comments (40 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Election Thread III (4.00 / 2)

Now is the time to help the Clinton supporters back off the ledge and back to reality. Extend a hand. They will be disoriented at first. Help them.

by Bob In Pacifica on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:15:34 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Actually - I recommend keeping our celebrations humble, and giving them a chance to grieve. It's a bit too soon to reach out just yet. But in a week, or maybe even a few days, some will reach for our hands.

"If you look for the social economic motive, you will not have to wait for history to tell you what was propaganda and what was truth." - George Seldes

by Real History Lisa (lpeaseRemoveThis@gte.net) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:28:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

True. I've been banned from TL so I can't help there.

by Bob In Pacifica on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:37:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sorry, I'm a bitch (none / 1)

I've been stretching so's I can push them off. ;P

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:28:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Don't want to rain on a parade. Obama has clinched it yet again.

Look for Indiana to get closer, but not to overtake the witch.

The mayor of Hammond just said she won that town. I am shocked, but maybe the hispanic vote helped. Guarentee the Rush vote did.

Anyhoo, the mayor of Hammond is a jag. He protested the students from Gary were let out of school to vote.

Of course if they were white, he would have driven them to the polls.

Patriotism and religion, like whiskey, is best used in moderation. Mark Twain

by skeeters2525 on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:07:47 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (4.00 / 5)

Please refrain from calling her a witch. We aims to keep it about the candidate, not her gender.

by BooMan on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:13:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Thanks for that!

"If you look for the social economic motive, you will not have to wait for history to tell you what was propaganda and what was truth." - George Seldes

by Real History Lisa (lpeaseRemoveThis@gte.net) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:26:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Check this out!!!

Gary Mayor Predicts Possible Indiana Shocker
Updated 10:55 p.m.
By Alec MacGillis
As the fate of a nailbiter Indiana primary -- and possibly the course of the Democratic race -- hung on his city, Gary Mayor Rudy Clay said just now that it might take a while yet to finish counting the vote in Lake County, which includes Gary, and said that his city had turned out so overwhelmingly for Barack Obama that it might just be enough to close the gap with Hillary Rodham Clinton.

From the WashPost...!

"If you look for the social economic motive, you will not have to wait for history to tell you what was propaganda and what was truth." - George Seldes

by Real History Lisa (lpeaseRemoveThis@gte.net) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:09:37 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Russert says there are 225,000 votes outstanding.

If turnout is that high in Lake, he will win easily.

by BooMan on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:12:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Well, now that my prediction for IN has gone to Hell (not that I'm complaining, of course), what do you reckon, Boo? O pulls it out?

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to you country.

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:20:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Tomorrow ought to be interesting. I expect Obama will get a good number of SD's, and we will hear some really, really creative spinning from team Clinton about how the race is still on.

by eagleye on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:11:55 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Well, Lanny Davis is already telling some good ones. He just said that a poll says that Obama is tied with McCain in Mass and that is why HRC should be the nominee.

I wonder if they even believe their own misleading lies.

"The heart of darkness is the president. Nobody knows what he thinks, even the people who work for him."

by Mac G on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:16:08 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Tweety just lamented that the producers were inserting a segment on race on MSNBC...

The Underground Railroad

by Oscar In Louisville on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:21:01 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Glad to see that the producers responded to Tweety's lament and pulled the segment.

The Underground Railroad

by Oscar In Louisville on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:25:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Saw that (none / 0)

I thought I had choked on a fishbone from dinner and had died. Matthews whining about having to talk about race and them NOT doing it???? Good lawd almighty...that could almost make me want to turn on my cable news more than the odd voting Tuesday.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:30:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

bye bye Hillary

The sleep of reason begets tyrants. -Goya

by joe in oklahoma on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:28:41 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Lake County results should start around midnight ET

All Lake County cartridges are in including Gary. Missing is Hammond 1-9 - NWI. Times, Indiana

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:29:55 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

15 minute countdown....

"If you look for the social economic motive, you will not have to wait for history to tell you what was propaganda and what was truth." - George Seldes

by Real History Lisa (lpeaseRemoveThis@gte.net) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:45:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Did you see that jump? (none / 0)

Obama got like 20K votes in a heartbeat.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:46:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

It's a tradition- Lake County's late vote tallies...Gary Mayor Rudy Clay, an Obama supporter, said turnout was as high as 85%

wouldn't be nice if Gary flip it to Obama?

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:55:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Gary Mayor Rudy Clay (none / 1)

I think that's an Official Abuse of the Letter 'Y'.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:57:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Should I go to bed now or make another cup of coffee? I just had my 2nd cup!

Let the clarity define you

by northanger on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:35:11 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 1)

I just made a pot of hot tea LOL Thanks for the video.

Doing My Part For The Left,Left Of The Rainbow

by refinish69 (refinish69 at gmail dot com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:42:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 1)

just made a cup of hot chocolate - real natural, unprocessed chocolate from the cocoa bean.

dee.li.cii.ous

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:49:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Chuck Todd just indirectly said that the Gary, Indiana Mayor might have had some shady counting wrong if Obama wins.

That was paraphrasing but I mean come on.

"The heart of darkness is the president. Nobody knows what he thinks, even the people who work for him."

by Mac G on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:37:55 PM EST

Ouch (none / 0)

Tweety no likey Rush!

The Underground Railroad

by Oscar In Louisville on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:44:53 PM EST

Damn (none / 1)

Twice in one night Matthews made sense and in less than an hour? His medication must be either kicking in or wearing off. That was awesome that he said something about it. Of course, it would have been better if he had said it earlier when the people in IN, NC, OH, and PA could have heard him.

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:48:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

i've been traveling for the last 5 hours anyone give me a 30 second summary.

by americanforliberty on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:48:26 PM EST

Sure... (none / 0)

Clinton is toast!

by NancyImpeachBush on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:49:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Sure... (none / 1)

Short, sweet and to the point!!!! I love it.

Doing My Part For The Left,Left Of The Rainbow

by refinish69 (refinish69 at gmail dot com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:51:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I believe in the Kiss method (none / 0)

keep it simple stupid...lol.

by NancyImpeachBush on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:06:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yeah Tweety just made (none / 0)

that perfectly clear. Good on him. Vote difference is now down to 17,000. WOW!!

by NancyImpeachBush on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:48:59 PM EST

17K! (none / 0)

Now this is a nailbiter! I'm still expecting Obama to lose, but what a race!

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:59:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Getting nervous (none / 0)

this is far better than anyone could have expected. I have faith in the American voters again.

by NancyImpeachBush on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:02:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Getting nervous: Lake County first totals (none / 0)

First Totals from Lake County

158 precincts out of 561 reporting.
Half of Gary, half of Merrillville and portion of Munster primarily make up these numbers:
Obama 27,991
Clinton 9,470

Keep this up he wins the state, No?

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:10:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Getting nervous: Lake County first totals (none / 0)

yes. Unless there are pro-Hillary precincts somewhere in Lake, she is going to lose another 25,000-40,000 votes out of Lake, and another 2-3,000 out of Bloomington.

by BooMan on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:13:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Election Thread III (none / 0)

Tweety just said that Hillary's cancelled he AM appearances.

Can't hear ya, Peach!

by AP on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:58:45 PM EST

Re: Election Thread III (none / 1)

why, not doing all the Tvs, wall to wall, as she did right after PA?

She should schedule a press conference to announce her departure. She declared North Carolina was the game-changer.

Well, "You can't vote for war and disown the results"

by idredit on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:04:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Rachel Maddow (none / 0)

Seems to be the only person who's actually watched the race and didn't think of Clinton as a friend, but as a subject of her work. She said, "Clinton hasn't had a rationale for staying in the race that wasn't deranged, that didn't rely on her moving the goalposts."

Blogging While Brown Convention Atlanta, GA July 25-27, 2008

by fabooj (fabooj [at} mail [dot} com) on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:25:12 AM EST

Re: Rachel Maddow (none / 0)

"post-rational" is a good phrase.

Help me raise money for Jay Nixon, the next Democratic governor of Missouri

by maryb2004 on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:26:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Election Thread III | 40 comments (40 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Go to: [ Booman Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]

. Home
. About
. Contact
. Advertise
. FAQ
. Search

Username:
Password:

. Make a new account
. Reset password

Proud member of

The Liberal Blog Network

a FeedBurner Network

Advertise in The Liberal Blog Network

Subscribe to this network

Gift Cards * New Arrivals

NOTE: Overstock bests Amazon's prices and is "blue."

THE BOOKS WITH "BUZZ":
______________

Learn the real story behind the WMD in Iraq:

The Way of the World: A Story of Truth and Hope in an Age of Extremism
by Ron Suskind

Read Barack Obama's vision for America:

The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream
by Barack Obama

DaveW recommends:

I Am a Strange Loop
by Douglas Hofstadter

Need some laughs?

I Am America (and So Can You!)
by Stephen Colbert

rae recommends:

Dark Ages America: The Final Phase of Empire
by Morris Berman.

On BooMan’s shelf:

The End of Iraq: How American Incompetence Created a War Without End
by Peter W. Galbraith

This looks interesting:

Adventure Divas
by Holly Morris

Here’s a good one from
Elizabeth Gilbert:

Eat Pray Love
by Elizabeth Gilbert

"Crash" * Best Motion Picture, Academy Awards * Only $11.79 at Overstock * 2006 SAG Winner, Best Ensemble

Check out
Powell's new section:
NEW FAVORITES
Selected new arrivals at 30% off

Recommended by Indianadem and ejmw:
The Conscience of a Liberal
by Paul Wellstone

From northcountry’s bookshelf:

The New Golden Age:
The Coming Revolution Against
Political Corruption and Economic Chaos by Ravi Batra

A novel about contractors in Iraq from the woman that runs The Spy That Billed Me:

Outsourced: A Novel
from RJ Hillhouse.

Download Sleeper Cell on iTunes

(Better than "24") Download Weeds on iTunes

(Hilarious 1/2-hour adult comedy starring Mary-Louise Parker) Download Late Nite with Conan O'Brien on iTunes

Download South Park on iTunes

James Hunter - People Gonna Talk:

Great Deals
----- * ^ * -----

Find mystery novels by Nancy Pickard ("Kansas")

Challenging Empire: How People, Governments, and the UN Defy US Power by Phyllis Bennis (interviewed on DN!)

Featured by Keith Olbermann, New (Powell's Sale): Rogue State: A Guide to the World's Only Superpower by William Blum (whose other books merit serious consideration)

"Explosive" State of War: The Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration
by James Risen

The book the CIA doesn't want you to read: Jawbreaker: The Attack on Bin Laden and Al Qaeda: A Personal Account by the CIA's Key Field Commander
Larry Johnson's review

BT's all-time best seller:

PERMACULTURE:
A Designers' Manual
$79.95 * Sale: $59.95

Unequal Sisters: A Multicultural Reader in U.S. Women's History (Third Edition)

The Undercover Economist: Exposing Why the Rich Are Rich, the Poor Are Poor And Why You Can Never Buy a Decent Used Car!

The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
by Timothy Egan

Green Press Initiative
----- * ^ * -----

Journalistas: 100 Years of the Best Writing and Reporting by Women Journalists by Eleanor Mills * NYT review

Bury Me Standing: the Gypsies & Their Journey

1491: New Revelations of the Americas before Columbus

Brokeback Mountain
by Annie Proulx
----- * ^ * -----
Check out Powell's
"At The Movies"

Imperial Ambitions: Conversations on the Post-9/11 World by Noam Chomsky (Power & Terror: Post 9-11 Talks)

The Price of Privilege:

How Parental Pressure and
Material Advantage Are Creating a Generation of
Disconnected and Unhappy Kids
by Madeline Levine

Save 35-70% on
name brand clothing,
footwear, and outdoor gear
at SierraTradingPost.com
:

We listened to PEN American Center's "State of Emergency" and found 1940s books by Curzio Malaparte only at Alibris. (Selection (MP3) excerpted from "The Skin.")

Banned Books * Are you a fan of Film Noir, Art House, Documentaries or Hong Kong Action? * Searching for a long-lost children's book or a first printing of Miles Davis' Kind of Blue on vinyl? Find it at Alibris!

:
:

Booman Tribune Homepage
admin@boomantribune.com
powered by Scoop

More blogs about Blogs at Technorati.