Booman Tribune

Who Could Have Predicted This?

by Steven D
Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 10:12:26 AM EST

Talks with Iran over its nuclear program end in resolving nothing even after the Bush administration sent a "senior diplomatic official" to attend (but not speak). I'm shocked, shocked I tell you, that the mere presence of a Bushie at this diplomatic conference didn't force Iran to its knees begging for forgiveness for ever offending the mighty United States:

The presence of William J. Burns, the under secretary of state for political affairs, was one of the most important encounters between Iran and the United States since relations were severed nearly three decades ago. And it was part of a rare show of unity among the six negotiating partners — the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia and China — who pressed Iran to accept compromise.

But Iran responded with a written document that failed to address the main issue: international demands that it stop enriching uranium. And Iranian diplomats reiterated before the talks that they considered the issue nonnegotiable.

Specifically, the world powers wanted Iran to accept a formula known as “freeze-for-freeze” to break the deadlock. Under the formula, Iran would not add to its nuclear program, and the United States and other powers would not seek new international sanctions for six weeks to pave the way for formal negotiations. The proposal was originally offered to Iran last year and presented again to it last month as part of a new proposal to ultimately give Iran economic and political incentives if it stops producing enriched uranium.

We're in a poker game, ladies and gentlemen, and Iran just called Bush's bluff. Now one of three things can happen: Bush can fold and agree to serious talks without pre-conditions, which would be advisable. Or he can continue bluffing, pretending that "terrible things" will happen should Iran not come to its senses, but leaving this issue for the next President to handle. Or he can choose Option No, 3. You know the one I mean, the one that's never, ever off the table.

So what do you think he'll decide to do? Number 1 is highly unlikely given past performance by this gang of front men for war profiteers. No. 2 is the best hope, even if it does raise the price of crude oil for the benefit of certain foreign nations and multinational companies. Number 3? Well, you tell me. Is Bush dumb enough or crazy enough to start another war?

Sorry, no need to answer that last question.



Display:
I cast my vote on 1.  it's just more money for them, and that's all they care about, let the others clean up the mess....if that will even be remotely possible.

"what a wonderful world"- Louis Armstrong
by infidelpig (rdewaynetaylor01@earthlink.net) on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 10:51:40 AM EST
Unleash the hounds!
by John Brown (ruptured_duck@notmail.com) on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 11:06:03 AM EST
Our attack on Iran or our support of Israel's attack on Iran could just very well be our Poland moment.
by clif on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 04:20:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
l really doubt that #3 is a viable option at this time...where's he going to get the army to do it with?

it appears that even the chairman of the joint chiefs, not known for his dovish demeanor, is opposed to it, among other things:

Noting U.S. participation in international talks Saturday with Iran over its nuclear program, Mullen said he was encouraged. "A few weeks ago I wouldn't have thought those were possible."

But he said he supports continued economic, financial, diplomatic and political pressure on Iran.

"I fundamentally believe that they're on a path to achieve nuclear weapons some time in the future. I think that's a very destabilizing possibility in that part of the world. I don't need -- we don't need -- any more instability in that part of the world," Mullen said.

Rice said she believes pressure is growing on Iran "to do the right thing." But, she added, while the U.S. is committed to a diplomatic solution, Bush is keeping all options open.

Mullen, meanwhile, discussed the fallout from a potential attack against Tehran by either the U.S. or Israel. "Right now I'm fighting two wars and I don't need a third one."

He added, "I worry about the instability in that part of the world and, in fact, the possible unintended consequences of a strike like that and, in fact, having an impact throughout the region that would be difficult to both predict exactly what it would be and then the actions that we would have to take to contain it."

[bolding mine]
link

as for israel proceeding as cheney's surrogate, as benny morris threatens, l would point you to this article at huffpost by  david bromwich where he succinctly de-constructs morris' argument.

additionally,it seems even the israeli's understand the message mullen sent a week and a half ago:

Thursday, July 10, 2008

A senior U.S. strategic analyst says the Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Michael Mullen, sent Israel an unequivocal message stating that Israel does not have a "green light" from the U.S. to attack Iranian nuclear facilities.

:::

Cordesman said Mullen came to Israel to deliver a message - that Israel did not have a green light to attack Iran and that it would not receive U.S. support for such a move.

According to Cordesman, Mullen was expressing the official opinion of the U.S. administration, including that of President George W. Bush and the National Security Council.

link

chimpy's just dialing up the pressure so the next guy comes into office with a pretty serious problem.

typical petulant behaviour for an old frat boy failure... trash the place and let somebody else clean up the mess.

the revolution will not be televised...Peace

by dada on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 04:35:15 PM EST
and the brits' new lap dog, pm brown, isn't making a peaceful solution easier...via the telegraph uk:

Gordon Brown will pledge "unbreakable" support to Israel while launching his strongest attack yet on Iran.

The Prime Minister will send a tough message to the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Monday, warning of imminent sanctions on oil and gas if he does not abandon his nuclear ambitions.

In a landmark speech to the Israeli parliament, Mr Brown will say that Mr Ahmadinejad's denial of Israel's right to exist is "totally abhorrent".

The European Union has already said it stands ready to push for a block on foreign investment in new Iranian oil and gas projects along with sanctions on the financial sector if the Gulf state does not comply with requests to suspend its uranium enrichment programme.



the revolution will not be televised...Peace
by dada on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 04:54:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
i believe they're certainly dumb enough to go for door number three, which is why they went to iraq, but i don't believe they're crazy enough to open it. once bitten, twice shy, as they say. in fact all the saber-rattling may indicate that they're inching towards door number two.

back in september of 2006, vanity fair's james wolcott remarked:

i have a theory on why the war party rhetoric has gone skittish and skyhigh, a theory based on casual observation of new york streetfights (streetfights everywhere, really). what i've noticed is that the trash talk in a street altercation escalates in proportion to the expanding distance between the two protagonists. when two potential fighters are almost literally in each other's faces, their words are few, their expressions fierce. it's when the fist fight has been avoided (or tabled) and they're putting distance between each other that the taunting becomes louder and more florid. "get back in my face again, motherfucker, and i'll pound your face into hamburger meat, motherfucker." "come back and say that to my face, lame-ass motherfucker." etc. you can supply your own david mamet expletives and challenges. one of my favorite verbal showdowns occurred on 14th street one rainy day when two non-pugilists kept up the trash talk until one of them said, "you're carrying an umbrella, motherfucker — how tough can you be?" which i must say got quite a chortle from us idle bystanders.

now what has this to do with the posings of our militaristic muscle mouths?

this: it is an index of the frustration and impotence they're experiencing at not getting their way. they're waging rhetorical escalation because de-escalation is the unacknowledged order of the day, and there's nothing they can do about it.



i'm glad you asked
by aarrgghh on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 06:20:19 PM EST


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